The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Portsmouth 65.8%
Draw 21.5%
Doncaster Rovers 12.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
69.8%
19.1%
11.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.3%
10.8%
19.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portsmouth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
Doncaster Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portsmouth than the current prediction. (-26.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Portsmouth that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Doncaster Rovers than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Doncaster Rovers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Portsmouth - Doncaster Rovers Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 11 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
Portsmouth has the most likely position - 11 (14.57%), has project points - 66, has currently - 41, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (7%), has a very small chance of promoted (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Doncaster has the most likely position - 24 (44.82%), has project points - 35, has currently - 22, has a very good chance of relegated (96%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Portsmouth is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Doncaster is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Portsmouth could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Portsmouth is absolute favorite.
Last 12 head-to-head matches Portsmouth won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 10-16.
Including matches at home between the teams Portsmouth won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-7.