Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 3

Date: 15 August 2023, Tuesday

Location: Fratton Park (Portsmouth)

Referee: Reeves T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Portsmouth		Exeter City

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.5	3.6	Watch
	2.05	3.4	3.4
	2.05	3.5	3.65
	2.08	3.51	3.74
	1.95	3.4	3.2
	1.95	3.62	3.72	Watch
	1.98	3.65	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.96)	3.51 ↑ (3.45)	3.55 ↓ (3.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portsmouth
46.7%

Draw
26.8%

Exeter City
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.5%

26.9%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

27.1%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portsmouth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Exeter City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portsmouth than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
56.2%	37.5%	6.2%

Portsmouth - Exeter City Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Portsmouth will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%). Exeter will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Portsmouth: 32% – 80.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Norris W. (G) 17. Rafferty J. 5. Poole R. 18. Shaughnessy C. 6. Ogilvie C. 7. Pack M. (C) 16. Morrell J. 11. Whyte G. 8. Robertson A. 10. Scully A. 9. Bishop C.	1. Sinisalo V. (G) 26. Sweeney P. 4. Aimson W. (C) 5. Hartridge A. 21. Rankine D. 8. Trevitt R. 6. Carroll T. 3. Jules Z. 11. Scott J. 29. Aitchison J. 7. Mitchell D.
Substitutes
25. Kamara A. 20. Raggett S. 15. Saydee C. 31. Schofield R. (G) 21. Sparkes J. 2. Swanson Z. 19. Yengi K.	41. Borges P. 12. Cole R. 19. Cox S. 31. Harper V. 10. Nombe S. 23. Taylor K. 33. Woods G. (G)
Coaches
Mousinho J.	Caldwell G.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Portsmouth won 3.

Recent matches Portsmouth is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Exeter is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Portsmouth is a favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Portsmouth won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 17-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Portsmouth won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portsmouth FC
English League One
12.08.23	Leyton Orient - Portsmouth	0:4 ✺
English League Cup
08.08.23	Forest Green Rovers - Portsmouth	1:3 ✺
English League One
05.08.23	Portsmouth - Bristol Rovers	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
29.07.23	Portsmouth - Bristol City	0:1 ✺
25.07.23	AFC Wimbledon - Portsmouth	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWTLL
- Exeter City
English League One
12.08.23	Exeter City - Blackpool	0:0 ✺
English League Cup
08.08.23	Exeter City - Crawley Town	2:1 ✺
English League One
05.08.23	Wycombe Wanderers - Exeter City	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
29.07.23	Exeter City - Coventry City	1:2 ✺
25.07.23	Weston-super-Mare - Exeter City	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
21.01.23	Portsmouth - Exeter City	2:0
26.12.22	Exeter City - Portsmouth	0:0
English EFL Trophy
07.01.22	Exeter City - Portsmouth	2:3
18.02.20	Portsmouth - Exeter City	3:2
English League Two
28.01.17	Portsmouth - Exeter City	0:1
27.08.16	Exeter City - Portsmouth	0:1
01.03.16	Exeter City - Portsmouth	1:1

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