Match Info

Championship - Round 11

Date: 22 October 2025, Wednesday

Location: Racecourse Ground (Wrexham)

Referee: Bell E. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	Paramount+


	Wrexham		Oxford United

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.4	3.8	Watch
	1.99	3.57	3.72	Watch
	2.02	3.56	3.94
	1.77	3.70	4.47	Watch
	1.94	3.5	3.75	Watch
	1.84	3.6	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.79)	3.56 ↓ (3.65)	3.98 ↓ (4.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Wrexham
49.6%

Draw
26.6%

Oxford United
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.7%

25.8%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

25.6%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wrexham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Oxford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.5%	3.8%	7.7%

Wrexham - Oxford United Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Wrexham (1.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Wrexham will win (23 of 26 users predict this - 88.46%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.18% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Wrexham will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Wrexham (votes: 8 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Okonkwo A. (G) 4. Cleworth M. 5. Hyam D. (C) 2. Doyle C. 12. Kabore I. 15. Dobson G. 37. James M. 14. Thomason G. 13. Cacace L. 33. Broadhead N. 19. Moore K.	1. Cumming J. (G) 15. Spencer B. 6. Helik M. 3. Brown C. 26. Currie J. 4. Vaulks W. 17. Mills S. 14. De Keersmaecker B. 8. Brannagan C. (C) 23. Dembele S. 16. Prelec N.
Substitutes
29. Barnett R. 3. Brunt L. 25. Burton C. (G) 9. Hardie R. 47. Longman R. 27. O'Brien L. 24. Scarr D. 28. Smith S. 10. Windass J.	29. Davies B. 12. Harris L. 9. Harris M. 21. Ingram M. (G) 50. Krastev F. 27. Lankshear W. 22. Leigh G. 2. Long S. 7. Placheta P.
Coaches
Parkinson P.	Rowett G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Broadhead N. ⚽, Moore K. (A),
37', Hyam D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Mills S. ↓, Lankshear W. ↑,
60', Broadhead N. ↓, Windass J. ↑,
65', Dembele S. 🟨,
67', Doyle C. 🟥,
69', Thomason G. ↓, Brunt L. ↑,
70', Dembele S. ↓, Krastev F. ↑,
70', Prelec N. ↓, Harris M. ↑,
80', Vaulks W. ↓, Harris L. ↑,
80', Spencer B. ↓, Placheta P. ↑,
83', Moore K. 🟨,
87', Kabore I. ↓, Scarr D. ↑,
88', Moore K. ↓, Smith S. ↑,
88', Cacace L. ↓, Longman R. ↑,
90+6', Smith S. 🟨,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 19 and 20).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Wrexham is the team to beat.

There will not play in Wrexham: Ashfield H. (Ankle Injury) Cannon A. (Knee Injury) James A. (Inactive) Rodriguez J. (Leg Injury) Ward D. (Elbow Injury)

There will not play in Oxford: Phillips M. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Oxford: Johnson J. (Inactive)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Wrexham won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Including home match between the teams, Wrexham won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Oxford United - the odds 4.4 are the expected chance of winning is 21.44%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wrexham AFC
English League Championship
18.10.25	Stoke City - Wrexham	1:0 ✺
03.10.25	Wrexham - Birmingham City	1:1 ✺
30.09.25	Leicester City - Wrexham	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Wrexham - Derby County	1:1 ✺
English League Cup
23.09.25	Wrexham - Reading	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LTTTW
- Oxford United
English League Championship
18.10.25	Oxford United - Derby County	1:0 ✺
04.10.25	Watford - Oxford United	2:1 ✺
01.10.25	Queens Park Rangers - Oxford United	0:0 ✺
27.09.25	Oxford United - Sheffield United	0:1 ✺
21.09.25	Bristol City - Oxford United	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
09.12.13	Wrexham - Oxford United	1:2

Upcoming Matches