Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 11

Date: 3 October 2023, Tuesday

Location: Fratton Park (Portsmouth)

Referee: Young A. (Eng)


	Portsmouth		Wycombe Wanderers

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.6	4.5
	1.77	3.75	4.2
	1.8	3.75	4.2	Watch
	1.8	3.72	4.73
	1.75	3.75	4.33
	1.77	3.8	4.3	Watch
	1.77	3.7	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.83)	3.72 ↑ (3.6)	4.37 ↑ (3.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portsmouth
53%

Draw
25.3%

Wycombe Wanderers
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.8%

25.8%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

25.2%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portsmouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Wycombe Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portsmouth than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wycombe Wanderers than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81%	9.5%	9.5%

Portsmouth - Wycombe Wanderers Predictions

Users Predictions: Portsmouth will win (17 of 21 users predict this - 80.95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.15% – 97.75%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Norris W. (G) 17. Rafferty J. 5. Poole R. 18. Shaughnessy C. 21. Sparkes J. 16. Morrell J. (C) 8. Robertson A. 32. Lane P. 28. Anjorin F. 25. Kamara A. 9. Bishop C.	1. Stryjek M. (G) 5. Forino-Joseph C. 16. Keogh R. 10. Leahy L. 31. Pattenden J. 4. Scowen J. (C) 19. Potts F. 11. Boyes H. 12. McCleary G. 18. Hanlan B. 9. Vokes S.
Substitutes
24. Devlin T. 20. Raggett S. 15. Saydee C. 31. Schofield R. (G) 14. Stevenson B. 2. Swanson Z. 11. Whyte G.	29. De Barr T. 17. Low J. 22. Phillips K. 25. Ravizzoli F. (G) 23. Sadlier K. 6. Tafazolli R. 20. Taylor D.
Coaches
Mousinho J.	Bloomfield M.

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Portsmouth won 2.

Portsmouth in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Wycombe is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Portsmouth is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Portsmouth to win the game is with odds 1.72.

Last 19 head-to-head matches Portsmouth won 6 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 24-23.

Including matches at home between the teams Portsmouth won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 17-15.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portsmouth FC
English League One
30.09.23	Wigan Athletic - Portsmouth	1:2 ✺
23.09.23	Portsmouth - Lincoln City	2:1 ✺
19.09.23	Barnsley - Portsmouth	2:3 ✺
16.09.23	Derby County - Portsmouth	1:1 ✺
02.09.23	Portsmouth - Peterborough United	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WWWTW
- Wycombe Wanderers
English League One
30.09.23	Wycombe Wanderers - Carlisle United	2:0 ✺
23.09.23	Charlton Athletic - Wycombe Wanderers	3:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
19.09.23	Wycombe Wanderers - Crystal Palace U21	1:0 ✺
English League One
16.09.23	Wycombe Wanderers - Blackpool	2:0 ✺
02.09.23	Northampton Town - Wycombe Wanderers	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
07.05.23	Portsmouth - Wycombe Wanderers	2:2
04.12.22	Wycombe Wanderers - Portsmouth	2:0
19.03.22	Portsmouth - Wycombe Wanderers	0:0
13.11.21	Wycombe Wanderers - Portsmouth	0:1
26.12.19	Portsmouth - Wycombe Wanderers	2:0
21.09.19	Wycombe Wanderers - Portsmouth	1:0
06.04.19	Wycombe Wanderers - Portsmouth	2:3

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