The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+
Current Win Probability
Derby County 48.1%
Draw 28.2%
Portsmouth 23.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.4%
28.1%
23.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49%
27.8%
23.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
Portsmouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portsmouth than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
86.4%
13.6%
0%
Derby County - Portsmouth Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -1 - Derby (3.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Derby County will win
(19 of 22 users predict this - 86.36%). Confidence interval (95%): 72.02% โ 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Derby County will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) ๐ฅ Gold Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Derby (votes: 8 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
#ad
Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Widell Zetterstrom J. (G) 6. Langas S. (C) 5. Clarke M. 28. Sanderson D. 23. Ward J. 42. Clark B. 16. Thompson L. 20. Elder C. 25. Brereton Diaz B. 10. Brewster R. 7. Agyemang P.
1. Schmid N. (G) 24. Devlin T. 14. Matthews H. 5. Poole R. 2. Williams J. 18. Kosznovszky M. 21. Dozzell A. 49. Lang C. 36. Chaplin C. 23. Murphy J. 9. Bishop C. (C)
Substitutes
32. Adams E. 4. Batth D. 11. Blackett-Taylor C. 3. Forsyth C. 19. Jackson K. 35. Nelson C. 15. Salvesen L. 31. Vickers J. (G) 14. Weimann A.
29. Blair H. 26. Bursik J. (G) 25. Kirk M. 16. Le Roux L. 7. Pack M. 10. Segecic A. 8. Swift J. 15. Umeh F. 47. Yang Min-Hyuk
Coaches
Eustace J.
Mousinho J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Lang C. ⚽, Murphy J. (A),
42', Dozzell A. 🟨,
44', Brewster R. 🟨,
45', 1 - 1, Matthews H. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Murphy J. ↓, Blair H. ↑,
66', Chaplin C. ↓, Segecic A. ↑,
66', Kosznovszky M. ↓, Pack M. ↑,
68', Brewster R. ↓, Weimann A. ↑,
77', Brereton Diaz B. ↓, Salvesen L. ↑,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 and 21).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Derby won 1.
In recent matches, Derby has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Portsmouth has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Derby might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Derby: Beck O.
(Inactive)
Johnston M.
(Hamstring Injury)
Morris C.
(Ankle Injury)
Ozoh D.
(Injury)
Travis L.
(Calf Injury)
There will not play in Portsmouth: Farrell J.
(Groin Injury)
Ogilvie C.
(Knee Injury)
Poole R.
(Ankle Injury)
Shaughnessy C.
(Hamstring Injury)
Umeh F.
(Hamstring Injury)
Waddingham T.
(Thigh Injury)
There are questionable in Portsmouth: Knight J.
(Back Injury)
Matthews H.
(Injury)
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Derby won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:9. (average 1.6:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Derby won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).
Watch
#ad
Widell Zetterstrom J. (G) 
Langas S. (C) 
Clarke M. 
Elder C. 
Brereton Diaz B. 
Agyemang P. 
Schmid N. (G) 
Devlin T. 
Poole R. 
Kosznovszky M. 
Adams E. 
Forsyth C. 
Le Roux L. 
Umeh F. 
Yang Min-Hyuk 
