Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 6

Date: 2 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Fratton Park (Portsmouth)

Referee: Rock D. (Eng)


	Portsmouth		Peterborough United

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.5	3.4
	2.25	3.55	3.1
	2.1	3.64	3.52
	2.1	3.2	3
	2.1	3.54	3.34	Watch
	2.16	3.5	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.35)	3.49 ↑ (3.38)	3.27 ↑ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portsmouth
44.1%

Draw
27%

Peterborough United
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

27.7%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

26.8%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portsmouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Peterborough United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portsmouth than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peterborough United than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.5%	5.9%	17.6%

Portsmouth - Peterborough United Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Portsmouth will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). Peterborough will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Portsmouth: 56.3% – 96.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Norris W. (G) 2. Swanson Z. 5. Poole R. 18. Shaughnessy C. 6. Ogilvie C. 16. Morrell J. 7. Pack M. (C) 11. Whyte G. 15. Saydee C. 25. Kamara A. 9. Bishop C.	1. Bilokapic N. (G) 30. Kioso P. 4. Edwards R. 6. Crichlow-Noble R. 3. Burrows H. 22. Kyprianou H. 27. Collins A. 11. Poku K. 14. Randall J. 17. Jones R.J. 10. Mason-Clark E. (C)
Substitutes
24. Devlin T. 32. Lane P. 20. Raggett S. 8. Robertson A. 31. Schofield R. (G) 21. Sparkes J. 4. Towler R.	16. Ajiboye D. 23. Corbett K. 8. De Havilland R. 2. Katongo J. 5. Knight J. 15. Sturge Z. 25. Talley F. (G)
Coaches
Mousinho J.	Ferguson D.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Portsmouth won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Portsmouth could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Portsmouth have a series of home games.

Portsmouth will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Portsmouth won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 20-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Portsmouth won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portsmouth FC
English League Cup
29.08.23	Portsmouth - Peterborough United	1:2 penalties ✺
English League One
26.08.23	Stevenage Borough - Portsmouth	0:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
22.08.23	Portsmouth - Fulham U21	4:3 penalties ✺
English League One
19.08.23	Portsmouth - Cheltenham Town	0:0 ✺
15.08.23	Portsmouth - Exeter City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LTWTW
- Peterborough United
English League Cup
29.08.23	Portsmouth - Peterborough United	1:2 penalties ✺
English League One
26.08.23	Peterborough United - Derby County	2:4 ✺
19.08.23	Northampton Town - Peterborough United	1:0 ✺
15.08.23	Barnsley - Peterborough United	1:3 ✺
12.08.23	Peterborough United - Charlton Athletic	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Cup
29.08.23	Portsmouth - Peterborough United	1:2 penalties
English League One
28.01.23	Peterborough United - Portsmouth	2:1
03.09.22	Portsmouth - Peterborough United	2:1
Club Friendly
31.07.21	Portsmouth - Peterborough United	2:0
English League One
16.03.21	Peterborough United - Portsmouth	1:0
English EFL Trophy
12.01.21	Peterborough United - Portsmouth	5:1
English League One
05.12.20	Portsmouth - Peterborough United	2:0

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