Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 7

Date: 19 September 2023, Tuesday

Location: Oakwell (Barnsley)

Referee: Smith L. (Eng)


	Barnsley		Portsmouth

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.4	2.8
	2.4	3.5	2.8	Watch
	2.48	3.51	2.9
	2.25	3.2	2.7
	2.42	3.52	2.78	Watch
	2.35	3.45	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↓ (2.49)	3.43 ↑ (3.29)	2.81 ↑ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barnsley
39.3%

Draw
27.3%

Portsmouth
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

28.5%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

28.7%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barnsley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Portsmouth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portsmouth than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	28.6%	38.1%

Barnsley - Portsmouth Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Barnsley will win (votes: 7 - 33.3%). Portsmouth will win (votes: 8 - 38.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Portsmouth: 17.3% – 58.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Roberts L. (G) 2. Williams J. (C) 4. Lopata K. 26. McCart J. 3. Russell J. 17. Cotter B. 30. Phillips A. 8. Kane H. 7. Cadden N. 44. Cole D. 45. McAtee J.	1. Norris W. (G) 17. Rafferty J. 5. Poole R. 18. Shaughnessy C. 6. Ogilvie C. 16. Morrell J. 7. Pack M. (C) 32. Lane P. 8. Robertson A. 11. Whyte G. 9. Bishop C.
Substitutes
9. Cosgrove S. 29. Dodgson O. 23. Killip B. (G) 22. O'Keeffe C. 41. Shepherd J. 20. Styles C. 36. Watters M.	28. Anjorin F. 24. Devlin T. 25. Kamara A. 31. Schofield R. (G) 21. Sparkes J. 14. Stevenson B. 4. Towler R.
Coaches
Collins N.	Mousinho J.

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Barnsley won 1.

Barnsley is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Portsmouth is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Portsmouth could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Barnsley won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Barnsley won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barnsley FC
English League One
16.09.23	Barnsley - Burton Albion	2:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
05.09.23	Barnsley - Grimsby Town	2:0 ✺
English League One
02.09.23	Cheltenham Town - Barnsley	0:2 ✺
26.08.23	Wigan Athletic - Barnsley	0:2 ✺
19.08.23	Barnsley - Oxford United	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWWWL
- Portsmouth FC
English League One
16.09.23	Derby County - Portsmouth	1:1 ✺
02.09.23	Portsmouth - Peterborough United	3:1 ✺
English League Cup
29.08.23	Portsmouth - Peterborough United	1:2 penalties ✺
English League One
26.08.23	Stevenage Borough - Portsmouth	0:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
22.08.23	Portsmouth - Fulham U21	4:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
07.03.23	Barnsley - Portsmouth	3:1
04.02.23	Portsmouth - Barnsley	1:1
English FA Cup
25.01.20	Portsmouth - Barnsley	4:2
English League One
23.02.19	Portsmouth - Barnsley	0:0
15.12.18	Barnsley - Portsmouth	1:1
English League Championship
18.02.12	Barnsley - Portsmouth	2:0

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