Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 10

Date: 30 September 2023, Saturday

Location: DW Stadium (Wigan)

Referee: Finnie W. (Eng)


	Wigan Athletic		Portsmouth

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.75	2.2
	3	3.5	2.2
	3	3.5	2.25	Watch
	3.11	3.58	2.31
	3.1	3.4	2.2
	3.13	3.48	2.2	Watch
	3	3.5	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↑ (3.03)	3.53 ↑ (3.48)	2.22 ↑ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wigan Athletic
30.8%

Draw
26.7%

Portsmouth
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

26.9%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8%

26%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wigan Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Portsmouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wigan Athletic than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portsmouth than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	33.3%	44.4%

Wigan Athletic - Portsmouth Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Wigan will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Portsmouth will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Portsmouth: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tickle S. (G) 23. Rekik O. 6. Hughes C. (C) 2. Watts K. 5. Sessegnon S. 26. Adeeko B. 21. Smith S. 11. Humphrys S. 10. Aasgaard T. 17. Godo M. 9. Wyke Ch.	1. Norris W. (G) 17. Rafferty J. 5. Poole R. 18. Shaughnessy C. 21. Sparkes J. 16. Morrell J. 7. Pack M. (C) 32. Lane P. 8. Robertson A. 9. Bishop C. 25. Kamara A.
Substitutes
12. Amos B. (G) 7. Clare S. 19. Lang C. 28. Magennis J. 20. McManaman C. 4. Morrison L. 18. Smith J.	28. Anjorin F. 24. Devlin T. 20. Raggett S. 15. Saydee C. 31. Schofield R. (G) 2. Swanson Z. 11. Whyte G.
Coaches
Maloney S.	Mousinho J.

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Wigan won 2.

Recent matches Wigan is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Portsmouth is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Portsmouth will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Wigan won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Wigan won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wigan Athletic
English League One
23.09.23	Bristol Rovers - Wigan Athletic	4:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
19.09.23	Wigan Athletic - Leicester City U21	7:1 ✺
English League One
16.09.23	Wigan Athletic - Cambridge United	2:1 ✺
02.09.23	Blackpool - Wigan Athletic	2:1 ✺
26.08.23	Wigan Athletic - Barnsley	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWWLL
- Portsmouth FC
English League One
23.09.23	Portsmouth - Lincoln City	2:1 ✺
19.09.23	Barnsley - Portsmouth	2:3 ✺
16.09.23	Derby County - Portsmouth	1:1 ✺
02.09.23	Portsmouth - Peterborough United	3:1 ✺
English League Cup
29.08.23	Portsmouth - Peterborough United	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
26.04.22	Portsmouth - Wigan Athletic	3:2
28.08.21	Wigan Athletic - Portsmouth	1:0
05.04.21	Wigan Athletic - Portsmouth	0:1
26.09.20	Portsmouth - Wigan Athletic	1:2
02.04.18	Portsmouth - Wigan Athletic	2:1
26.08.17	Wigan Athletic - Portsmouth	1:1

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