Match Info

Copa Betano do Brasil - 1/64-finals

Date: 10 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio do Caninde (Sao Paulo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Portuguesa		Avaí

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.25	4
	1.92	3.25	3.95
	1.98	3.26	3.66
	2.26	3.07	3.14	Watch
	2	3.1	3.75
	1.98	3.22	3.77	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.37)	3.19 ↑ (3.05)	3.71 ↑ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portuguesa
46.1%

Draw
29%

Avaí
24.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.6%

30%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

29.7%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portuguesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Portuguesa's performance.

Avaí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Avaí might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portuguesa than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Portuguesa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Avaí could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	66.7%	16.7%

Portuguesa - Avaí Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Portuguesa will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Avaí will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Portuguesa (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Avaí (2.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Portuguesa (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Avaí (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bruno Bertinato (G) 17. Caio Roque 4. Eduardo Biazus (C) 20. Guilherme Dantas 3. Gustavo Henrique 5. Hudson 13. Igor Torres 2. Joao Vitor 19. Maceio 21. Rene 8. Ze Vitor	41. Leo Aragao (G) 3. Allyson 9. Avenatti F. 55. Bruno Baldini 14. Daniel Penha (C) 36. DG 10. Jean Lucas 8. Luiz Henrique 25. Paulo Vitor 43. Thayllon 2. Wallison
Substitutes
39. Carlos Eduardo 11. Cauari 27. Denis 33. Eric Botteghin 6. Gustavo Salomao 42. Gustavo Sciencia 12. Joao Paulo (G) 26. Jotta 16. Lucas Hipolito 9. Matheus Cadorini 25. Matheus Cecchini 7. Thiaguinho	6. Cabral N. 30. Cristiano 15. Guilherme Aquino 50. Joao Maistro 21. Otavio Passos (G) 7. Rafael Bilu 11. Sorriso 19. Vinicius Gugel 57. Walace 95. Wenderson 52. Wesley Gasolina

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', Luiz Henrique 🟨,
16', 0 - 1, Paulo Vitor ⚽,
19', Daniel Penha 🟨,
19', Maceio 🟨,
20', 1 - 1, Rene ⚽,
26', Joao Paulo 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Luiz Henrique ↓, Wenderson ↑,
57', Hudson ↓, Denis ↑,
64', Avenatti F. ↓, Walace ↑,
64', Thayllon ↓, Rafael Bilu ↑,
73', Jean Lucas ↓, Sorriso ↑,
75', Caio Roque ↓, Gustavo Salomao ↑,
76', Igor Torres ↓, Cauari ↑,
82', Ze Vitor 🟨,
86', Rene ↓, Matheus Cadorini ↑,
86', Guilherme Dantas ↓, Matheus Cecchini ↑,
86', Daniel Penha ↓, Cristiano ↑,
88', DG 🟨,
Penalties (4 - 1)
1, Ze Vitor (Penalty Awarded),
1, Rafael Bilu (Penalty Awarded),
2, Matheus Cadorini (Penalty Awarded),
2, Sorriso (Penalty Awarded),
3, Gustavo Salomao (Penalty Awarded),
3, Cristiano (Penalty Awarded),
4, Maceio (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Portuguesa is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Avaí has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Portuguesa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Portuguesa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.5:2.5).

Including home match between the teams, Portuguesa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portuguesa SP
Copa do Brasil
26.02.26	Portuguesa - Altos	5:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
22.02.26	Portuguesa - Corinthians	1:2 penalties ✺
15.02.26	Mirassol - Portuguesa	1:2 ✺
07.02.26	Portuguesa - Ponte Preta	2:0 ✺
31.01.26	EC Primavera - Portuguesa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 WLWWW
- Avaí
Copa do Brasil
04.03.26	Avaí - Porto Vitória	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
28.02.26	Camboriú - Avaí	1:0 ✺
21.02.26	Avaí - Santa Catarina	3:0 ✺
14.02.26	Santa Catarina - Avaí	1:2 ✺
08.02.26	Avaí - Camboriú	0:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
18.11.14	Avaí - Portuguesa	2:0
19.08.14	Portuguesa - Avaí	1:3

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