The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Leeds United 65.4%
Draw 21.5%
Luton Town 13.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
63.8%
22.8%
13.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
66.7%
21.8%
12.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leeds United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
Luton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leeds United than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
84.8%
6.5%
8.7%
Leeds United - Luton Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
Leeds United will win
(38 of 42 users predict this - 90.48%). Confidence interval (95%): 81.6% – 99.36%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Meslier I. (G) 2. Bogle J. 6. Rodon J. 5. Struijk P. 25. Byram S. 8. Rothwell J. 22. Tanaka A. 29. Gnonto W. 11. Aaronson B. 14. Solomon M. 10. Piroe J.
24. Kaminski T. (G) 15. Mengi T. 6. McGuinness M. 3. Bell A. 16. Burke R. 8. Krauss T. 13. Nakamba M. 18. Clark J. 7. Moses V. 9. Morris C. (C) 19. Brown J.
Substitutes
9. Bamford P. 50. Crew C. 26. Darlow K. (G) 37. Debayo J. 23. Guilavogui J. 7. James D. 19. Joseph M. 17. Ramazani L. 39. Wober M.
11. Adebayo E. 26. Baptiste S. 14. Chong T. 27. Hashioka D. 29. Holmes T. 23. Krul T. (G) 17. Mpanzu P. 25. Taylor J. 10. Woodrow C.
Coaches
Farke D.
Edwards R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Byram S. ⚽,
45+1', 2 - 0, Piroe J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Burke R. ↓, Hashioka D. ↑,
50', Hashioka D. 🟨,
52', Rodon J. 🟨,
59', Byram S. ↓, Wober M. ↑,
59', Brown J. ↓, Taylor J. ↑,
60', Morris C. ↓, Adebayo E. ↑,
68', Clark J. 🟨,
69', Gnonto W. ↓, James D. ↑,
70', Piroe J. ↓, Joseph M. ↑,
74', Nakamba M. ↓, Baptiste S. ↑,
77', Moses V. ↓, Chong T. ↑,
81', 3 - 0, James D. ⚽,
84', Aaronson B. ↓, Ramazani L. ↑,
84', Rothwell J. ↓, Guilavogui J. ↑,
90', Ramazani L. 🟨,
Preview
Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 16).
Leeds is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Luton is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Leeds could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Leeds is the unquestionable favorite.
There will not play in Leeds: Ampadu E.
(Knee Injury)
Firpo J.
(Suspended)
Gelhardt J.
(Hip Injury)
Gruev I.
(Knee Injury)
Ramazani L.
(Ankle Injury)
Schmidt I.
(Injury)
There will not play in Luton: Burke R.
(Groin Injury)
Lockyer T.
(Heart Problems)
Walters R.
(Foot Injury)
There are questionable in Luton: Doughty A.
(Knock)
Last 3 head-to-head matches Leeds won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:2 (average 1.3:0.7).
Including matches at home between the teams Leeds won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1
Hungary
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Meslier I. (G) 
Bogle J. 
Rodon J. 
Struijk P. 
Tanaka A. 
Gnonto W. 
Aaronson B. 
Solomon M. 
Kaminski T. (G) 
McGuinness M. 
Bell A. 
Krauss T. 
Nakamba M. 
Moses V. 
Brown J. 
Joseph M. 
Wober M. 
Baptiste S. 
Mpanzu P. 
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