Leeds United - Derby County predictions, live, scores & stats

Match Info

ENGLAND: Championship - Round 19

Date: 7 December 2024, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Elland Road (Leeds) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Donohue M. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	StarTimes App
Argentina	09:30	Disney+, FOX Sports 3
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	23:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Bosnia And Herzegovina	13:30	Arena Sport 6, Moja TV
Brazil	09:30	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	14:30	Nova Sport
Canada	07:30	DAZN Canada
Chile	09:30	Disney+
Colombia	07:30	Disney+, ESPN 5
Croatia	13:30	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Czech Republic	13:30	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	13:30	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Finland	14:30	Viaplay
France	13:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 10, Free
Hungary	13:30	Match 4, Net4+
Iceland	12:30	Viaplay
India	18:00	FanCode, FanCode
Ireland	12:30	NOW
Israel	14:30	Sport 2
Japan	21:30	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	18:30	Setanta Sports
Mexico	06:30	Disney+, ESPN 3
Netherlands	13:30	Viaplay
Nigeria	13:30	Sporty TV
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 3 North
Norway	13:30	Viaplay, V Sport 2
Peru	07:30	Disney+, Fox Sports 2
Poland	13:30	Viaplay
Portugal	12:30	Sport TV2
Serbia	13:30	Arena Premium 3
Singapore	20:30	mio Sports 1
Slovakia	13:30	Voyo
South America	—	ESPN 5 South
Sweden	13:30	Viaplay, V Sport Extra, V Sport Xtra
United Kingdom	12:30	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports+, Sky Ultra
Uruguay	09:30	Disney+
Usa	07:30	Paramount+
Venezuela	08:30	Disney+, Inter
International	12:30	Disney+


	Leeds United		Derby County

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.75	9.5	Watch
	1.34	4.8	10
	1.34	4.92	9.76	Watch
	1.33	5.05	11.07
	1.34	4.82	10.22	Watch
	1.33	4.8	11
	1.35	4.85	9.5	Watch
	1.34	4.92	9.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.39)	4.86 ↑ (4.63)	10.1 ↑ (8.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Leeds United
71.1%

Draw
19.5%

Derby County
9.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

68%

20.4%

11.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.7%

19.3%

11%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leeds United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leeds United than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	0%	10%

Leeds United - Derby County Predictions

Users Predictions: Leeds United will win (17 of 18 users predict this - 94.44%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.85% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Meslier I. (G) 2. Bogle J. 6. Rodon J. 5. Struijk P. (C) 3. Firpo J. 22. Tanaka A. 8. Rothwell J. 7. James D. 11. Aaronson B. 14. Solomon M. 10. Piroe J.	1. Widell Zetterstrom J. (G) 12. Phillips N. 35. Nelson C. 6. Cashin E. 2. Wilson K. 8. Osborn B. 16. Thompson L. 3. Forsyth C. 19. Jackson K. 11. Mendez-Laing N. (C) 10. Yates J.
Substitutes
4. Ampadu E. 9. Bamford P. 26. Darlow K. (G) 29. Gnonto W. 23. Guilavogui J. 19. Joseph M. 17. Ramazani L. 33. Schmidt I. 39. Wober M.	7. Barkhuizen T. 27. Blackett-Taylor C. 5. Bradley S. 39. Brown D. 9. Collins J. 17. Goudmijn K. 18. Harness M. 31. Vickers J. (G) 23. Ward J.
Coaches
Farke D.	Warne P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
15', Jackson K. 🟨,
21', Firpo J. ↓, Wober M. ↑,
39', 1 - 0, Rodon J. ⚽, Rothwell J. (A),
44', 2 - 0, Wober M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
65', Mendez-Laing N. ↓, Harness M. ↑,
65', Jackson K. ↓, Goudmijn K. ↑,
68', Aaronson B. ↓, Joseph M. ↑,
68', Solomon M. ↓, Gnonto W. ↑,
82', Wilson K. ↓, Ward J. ↑,
82', Thompson L. ↓, Barkhuizen T. ↑,
82', Yates J. ↓, Collins J. ↑,
85', Rothwell J. ↓, Guilavogui J. ↑,
85', James D. ↓, Ramazani L. ↑,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Leeds won 3.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Leeds is indisputable favorite.

There will not play in Leeds: Ampadu E. (Knee Injury) Byram S. (Muscle Injury) Gelhardt J. (Hip Injury) Gruev I. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Derby: Adams E. (Yellow Cards) Chirewa T. (Thigh Injury) Elder C. (Yellow Cards) Nyambe R. (Knee Injury) Ozoh D. (Hamstring Injury) Rooney J. (Knee Injury)

Last 19 head-to-head matches Leeds won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 27:28 (average 1.4:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Leeds won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13:14 (average 1.3:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leeds United
English League Championship
30.11.24	Blackburn Rovers - Leeds United	1:0 ✺
27.11.24	Leeds United - Luton Town	3:0 ✺
24.11.24	Swansea City - Leeds United	3:4 ✺
09.11.24	Leeds United - Queens Park Rangers	2:0 ✺
06.11.24	Millwall - Leeds United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWWWL
- Derby County
English League Championship
01.12.24	Derby County - Sheffield Wednesday	1:2 ✺
27.11.24	Derby County - Swansea City	1:2 ✺
23.11.24	Preston North End - Derby County	1:1 ✺
09.11.24	Derby County - Plymouth Argyle	1:1 ✺
06.11.24	Coventry City - Derby County	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
19.07.20	Derby County - Leeds United	1:3
21.09.19	Leeds United - Derby County	1:1
15.05.19	Leeds United - Derby County	2:4
11.05.19	Derby County - Leeds United	0:1
11.01.19	Leeds United - Derby County	2:0
11.08.18	Derby County - Leeds United	1:4
21.02.18	Derby County - Leeds United	2:2

Upcoming Matches