Match Info

ENGLAND: Championship - Round 16

Date: 24 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Swansea.com Stadium (Swansea)

Referee: Whitestone D. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv Football
Argentina	FOX Sports 2, Fox Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 6, Moja TV
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Canada	DAZN Canada
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 6
Hungary	Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay, Vodafone Sport
India	FanCode, FanCode
Ireland	NOW
Israel	Sport 2
Japan	DAZN Japan
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 2
Poland	Viaplay
Singapore	mio Sports 1
Slovakia	Voyo
South-america	ESPN 7 Latin America, ESPN7 South
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Extra, V Sport Premium
Turkey	Exxen
United-kingdom	beIN Sports MENA English 2, NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports+
Usa	CBS, Paramount+
Venezuela	Inter
World	Disney+


	Swansea City		Leeds United

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.6	1.8	Watch
	4.4	3.5	1.83
	4.44	3.55	1.83	Watch
	4.49	3.74	1.85
	4.48	3.67	1.8	Watch
	4.6	3.5	1.85
	4.24	3.6	1.86	Watch
	4.44	3.55	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.45 ↓ (4.57)	3.59 ↓ (3.63)	1.83 ↑ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Swansea City
21.4%

Draw
26.6%

Leeds United
52%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.7%

26.1%

53.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.7%

26.1%

53.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Swansea City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Leeds United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swansea City than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leeds United than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	25%	58.3%

Swansea City - Leeds United Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Swansea will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Leeds will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leeds: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Vigouroux L. (G) 2. Key J. 5. Cabango B. 6. Darling H. 14. Tymon J. 17. Franco G. 8. Grimes M. (C) 25. Peart-Harris M. 7. Allen J. 35. Ronald 20. Cullen L.	1. Meslier I. (G) 2. Bogle J. 6. Rodon J. 5. Struijk P. (C) 25. Byram S. 22. Tanaka A. 8. Rothwell J. 7. James D. 11. Aaronson B. 14. Solomon M. 10. Piroe J.
Substitutes
32. Abbey N. 47. Abdulai A. 19. Bianchini F. 23. Christie C. 4. Fulton J. 33. McLaughlin J. (G) 26. Naughton K. 21. Tjoe a On N. 9. Vipotnik Z.	9. Bamford P. 50. Crew C. 26. Darlow K. (G) 37. Debayo J. 29. Gnonto W. 23. Guilavogui J. 19. Joseph M. 17. Ramazani L. 39. Wober M.
Coaches
Williams L.	Farke D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Darling H. ⚽, Grimes M. (A),
20', 1 - 1, Solomon M. ⚽, James D. (A),
45+3', 2 - 1, Cullen L. ⚽, Ronald (A),
2nd Half (1 - 3)
53', James D. 🟨,
55', 2 - 2, Cabango B. (Own goal),
56', Allen J. ↓, Fulton J. ↑,
57', Byram S. 🟨,
73', 2 - 3, Solomon M. ⚽, Byram S. (A),
75', Piroe J. ↓, Joseph M. ↑,
75', Solomon M. ↓, Gnonto W. ↑,
75', Franco G. ↓, Bianchini F. ↑,
84', Byram S. ↓, Wober M. ↑,
84', Rothwell J. ↓, Guilavogui J. ↑,
85', Ronald ↓, Abdulai A. ↑,
90', 3 - 3, Bianchini F. ⚽, Tymon J. (A),
90+1', 3 - 4, Gnonto W. ⚽, James D. (A),
90+2', Peart-Harris M. 🟨,
90+5', James D. ↓, Debayo J. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 14 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Swansea won 1.

Recent matches Swansea is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Leeds is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Swansea could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Leeds is a favorite.

There will not play in Swansea: Eom J. (Knee Injury) Fisher A. (Groin Injury) Ginnelly J. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Leeds: Ampadu E. (Knee Injury) Firpo J. (Suspended) Gruev I. (Knee Injury) Ramazani L. (Ankle Injury)

Last 6 head-to-head matches Swansea won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5:12 (average 0.8:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Swansea won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:7 (average 0.7:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Swansea City
English League Championship
10.11.24	Burnley - Swansea City	1:0 ✺
05.11.24	Swansea City - Watford	1:0 ✺
02.11.24	Oxford United - Swansea City	1:2 ✺
26.10.24	Swansea City - Millwall	0:1 ✺
22.10.24	Sheffield Wednesday - Swansea City	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWWLT
- Leeds United
English League Championship
09.11.24	Leeds United - Queens Park Rangers	2:0 ✺
06.11.24	Millwall - Leeds United	1:0 ✺
02.11.24	Leeds United - Plymouth Argyle	3:0 ✺
26.10.24	Bristol City - Leeds United	0:0 ✺
22.10.24	Leeds United - Watford	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
13.02.24	Swansea City - Leeds United	0:4
29.11.23	Leeds United - Swansea City	3:1
12.07.20	Swansea City - Leeds United	0:1
31.08.19	Leeds United - Swansea City	0:1
13.02.19	Leeds United - Swansea City	2:1
21.08.18	Swansea City - Leeds United	2:2

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