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Current Win Probability
Preston North End 52.6%
Draw 27.6%
Reading 19.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.4%
28.1%
26.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.4%
28.1%
26.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Preston North End has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Preston North End's performance.
Reading has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Reading might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Preston North End than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Preston North End that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reading than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Reading could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
88.6%
5.7%
5.7%
Preston North End - Reading Predictions
Users Predictions:
Preston North End will win
(31 of 35 users predict this - 88.57%). Confidence interval (95%): 78.03% โ 99.11%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 8 and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).
Preston has the most likely position - 10 (15.47%), project points - 66, currently - 59, not chance of relegated, a small chance of prom. playoffs (9%), a very small chance of promoted (1%), not chance of win league.
Reading has the most likely position - 22 (23.79%), project points - 47, currently - 41, a chance of relegated (35%), a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.
This event has quality36, importance37, match rating37. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Preston won 2.
Preston is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Reading is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
In this match Preston is a favorite.
There will not play in Preston: Cunningham G.
(Injury)
Evans C.
(Injury)
McCann A.
(Injury)
Riis E.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Reading: Baba A.
(Leg Injury)
Ejaria O.
(Knee Injury)
Hoilett J.
(Muscle Injury)
Hutchinson S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Tetek D.
(Leg Injury)
Last 15 head-to-head matches Preston won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 18-17.
Including matches at home between the teams Preston won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-8.
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