Match Info

Championship - Round 32

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Deepdale (Preston)

Referee: Whitestone D. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+


	Preston North End		Watford

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.1	2.45	Watch
	2.92	3.26	2.48	Watch
	2.94	3.33	2.54
	3	3.27	2.42	Watch
	2.8	3.1	2.45
	2.95	3.37	2.54	Watch
	2.85	3.33	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↑ (2.83)	3.25 ↑ (3.13)	2.48 ↓ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Preston North End
32.8%

Draw
29.1%

Watford
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

29.8%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

29.2%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Preston North End has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Watford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Preston North End than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Watford than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	22.7%	40.9%

Preston North End - Watford Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Preston will win (votes: 8 - 38.1%). Watford will win (votes: 8 - 38.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 23.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Preston: 17.3% – 58.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Preston (votes: 2 - 40%). Watford (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Watford (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Watford (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Preston (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Watford (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Cornell D. (G) 42. Offiah O. 14. Storey J. 19. Gibson L. 2. Valentin P. 8. McCann A. 4. Whiteman B. (C) 21. Devine A. 3. Vukcevic A. 17. Dobbin L. 9. Jebbison D.	1. Selvik E. (G) 3. Goglichidze S. 25. Abankwah J. 6. Pollock M. 21. Mfuni S. 23. Mendy N. 10. Louza I. (C) 8. Chakvetadze G. 39. Kayembe E. 42. Maamma O. 9. Kjerrumgaard L.
Substitutes
16. Hughes A. 10. Lang C. 18. Lewis J. 23. Moran A. 28. Osmajic M. 26. Small T. 24. Smith M. 15. Thompson J. 12. Walton J. (G)	34. Baah K. 12. Baxter N. (G) 16. Bola M. 15. Bove E. 20. Doumbia M. 7. Ince T. 27. Mendy F. 50. Mullins J. 29. Petris J.
Coaches
Heckingbottom P.	Still E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Dobbin L. ⚽, Whiteman B. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Chakvetadze G. ↓, Baah K. ↑,
55', 1 - 1, Maamma O. ⚽, Louza I. (A),
57', 1 - 2, Kjerrumgaard L. ⚽, Baah K. (A),
61', Goglichidze S. ↓, Mendy F. ↑,
63', Jebbison D. ↓, Osmajic M. ↑,
63', Valentin P. ↓, Lang C. ↑,
63', Vukcevic A. ↓, Small T. ↑,
70', 2 - 2, Small T. ⚽, Lang C. (A),
78', Kjerrumgaard L. ↓, Doumbia M. ↑,
79', Pollock M. ↓, Petris J. ↑,
79', Dobbin L. ↓, Hughes A. ↑,
81', Gibson L. 🟨,
86', Louza I. ↓, Bove E. ↑,
89', Petris J. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 7 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Preston won 2.

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Preston may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Preston: Hughes A. (Hamstring Injury) Iversen D. (Groin Injury)

There will not play in Watford: Bove E. (Heart Problems) Ekwah P. (Injury) Irankunda N. (Red Card) Kyprianou H. (Ankle Injury) Vata R. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Preston: Brady R. (Calf Injury) Lang C. (Hamstring Injury)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Preston won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 0.9:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Preston won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1:1.2).

Outrights of English League Championship for now

Watford: 0.75% Preston: 0.66%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
20	Watford	9	2	2	5	7:14	-7	8
24	Preston	9	1	1	7	8:16	-8	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Preston North End
English League Championship
07.02.26	Preston North End - Portsmouth	1:0 ✺
31.01.26	Ipswich Town - Preston North End	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	Middlesbrough - Preston North End	4:0 ✺
20.01.26	Preston North End - Hull City	0:3 ✺
17.01.26	Preston North End - Derby County	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WTLLL
- Watford FC
English League Championship
07.02.26	Southampton - Watford	1:0 ✺
03.02.26	Hull City - Watford	0:0 ✺
31.01.26	Watford - Swansea City	0:2 ✺
24.01.26	Blackburn Rovers - Watford	1:1 ✺
21.01.26	Watford - Portsmouth	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LTLTT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
25.11.25	Watford - Preston North End	1:1
21.01.25	Watford - Preston North End	1:2
02.10.24	Preston North End - Watford	3:0
06.04.24	Watford - Preston North End	0:0
16.12.23	Preston North End - Watford	1:5
04.03.23	Watford - Preston North End	0:0
20.08.22	Preston North End - Watford	0:0

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