Match Info

Date: 25 April 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Pro Patria		Livorno

	1	X	2
	1.83	3	4.5
	1.85	3.1	4.1
	1.87	3.15	3.85
	1.84	3	4.2
	1.84	3.24	4.59
	1.95	3	4.2
	1.85	3.28	4.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.62)	3.11 ↓ (3.3)	4.24 ↓ (5.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pro Patria
49.1%

Draw
29.4%

Livorno
21.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.9%

27.4%

16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

16.2%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pro Patria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pro Patria's form might have worsened.

Livorno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pro Patria than the current prediction. (-16%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pro Patria that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Livorno than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Livorno could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Pro Patria - Livorno Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Pro Patria is Qualified for Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Pro Patria is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Pro Patria won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aurora Pro Patria 1919
Italian Serie C Group A
18.04.21	Giana Erminio - Pro Patria	1:1 ✺
11.04.21	Pro Patria - Novara	1:3 ✺
03.04.21	Lecco - Pro Patria	0:1 ✺
29.03.21	Pro Patria - Juventus U23	1:0 ✺
21.03.21	Grosseto - Pro Patria	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TLWWL
- US Livorno 1915
Italian Serie C Group A
18.04.21	Livorno - Como	1:2 ✺
11.04.21	Lucchese - Livorno	0:0 ✺
03.04.21	Livorno - Pistoiese	5:0 ✺
28.03.21	Livorno - Pro Vercelli	2:1 ✺
21.03.21	Pontedera - Livorno	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
10.01.21	Livorno - Pro Patria	0:2

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aurora Pro Patria 1919
Coppa Italia Serie D
28.10.26	Leon - Pro Patria	✺
- US Livorno 1915
Italian Serie C Group B
01.11.26	Livorno - Ostia Mare	✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
28.10.26	Spezia - Livorno	✺

Pro Patria - Livorno