Match Info

Champions League - League phase - Round 7

Date: 21 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Tofiq Bahramov Stadium (Baku)

Referee: Scharer S. (Sui)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Qarabağ Agdam		Eintracht Frankfurt

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.9	2
	3.35	3.8	2.12
	3.01	3.9	2.2
	3.49	3.89	2.05	Watch
	3.25	3.6	2.05
	3.46	3.97	2.04
	3.66	3.75	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.37 ↑ (3.06)	3.83 ↓ (3.86)	2.06 ↓ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Qarabağ Agdam
28.4%

Draw
25%

Eintracht Frankfurt
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

24.9%

43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

25.1%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Qarabağ Agdam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Eintracht Frankfurt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Qarabağ Agdam than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eintracht Frankfurt than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	24.1%	53.7%

Qarabağ Agdam - Eintracht Frankfurt Predictions

Users Predictions: 53 users predict this event. Qarabağ will win (votes: 12 - 22.6%). Eintracht will win (votes: 29 - 54.7%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 22.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Eintracht: 41.3% – 68.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.25, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Eintracht (1.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Qarabağ (2.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Eintracht Frankfurt will win (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 18 Selected Experts predict this event. Qarabağ (votes: 1 - 5.6%). Eintracht (votes: 14 - 77.8%). Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Kochalski M. (G) 2. Matheus Silva 13. Mustafazada B. 81. Medina K. 44. Cafarquliyev E. 35. Pedro Bicalho 8. Jankovic M. 15. Leandro Andrade 9. Montiel J. 10. Zoubir A. (C) 17. Duran C.	40. Kaua Santos (G) 34. Collins N. 4. Koch R. (C) 3. Theate A. 13. Kristensen R. 15. Skhiri E. 16. Larsson H. 21. Brown N. 20. Doan R. 42. Uzun C. Y. 7. Knauff A.
Substitutes
11. Addai E. 7. Akhundzade N. 27. Bayramov T. 97. Buntic F. (G) 6. Chriso 18. Dani Bolt 30. Huseynov A. 55. Huseynov B. 21. Kashchuk O. 3. Mmaee S. 22. Qurbanly M. 89. Ramazanov A. (G)	5. Amenda A. 19. Bahoya J. 24. Buta 8. Chaibi F. 18. Dahoud M. 45. Dills M. 41. Doumbia F. 27. Gotze M. 33. Grahl J. (G) 6. Hojlund O. 53. Staff A. 23. Zetterer M. (G)
Coaches
Qurbanov Q.	Schmitt D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Duran C. ⚽, Leandro Andrade (A),
10', 1 - 1, Uzun C. Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
61', Kristensen R. 🟨,
71', Doan R. ↓, Chaibi F. ↑,
71', Uzun C. Y. ↓, Gotze M. ↑,
78', 1 - 2, Chaibi F. (Penalty Awarded),
79', Knauff A. ↓, Bahoya J. ↑,
80', 2 - 2, Duran C. ⚽, Cafarquliyev E. (A),
83', Duran C. 🟨,
84', Montiel J. ↓, Addai E. ↑,
84', Leandro Andrade ↓, Kashchuk O. ↑,
85', Larsson H. ↓, Hojlund O. ↑,
85', Collins N. ↓, Staff A. ↑,
89', Staff A. 🟨,
90+1', Duran C. ↓, Qurbanly M. ↑,
90+4', 3 - 2, Mustafazada B. ⚽, Matheus Silva (A),

Preview

Qarabağ is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Eintracht's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Eintracht may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Eintracht could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Qarabağ: Kady Borges (Leg Injury) Mahammadaliyev S. (Injury) Ramazanov A. (Inactive) Rzayev A. (Inactive) Sheydayev R. (Inactive)

There will not play in Eintracht: Arrhov L. (Inactive) Batshuayi M. (Foot Injury) Baum E. (Injury) Burkardt J. (Calf Injury) Ebnoutalib Y. (Injury) Kalimuendo A. (Inactive) Kosugi K. (Inactive)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Qarabağ won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, Qarabağ won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Qarabağ Agdam
Club Friendly
16.01.26	Zagłębie Lubin - Qarabağ Agdam	1:3 ✺
12.01.26	Qarabağ Agdam - Neftchi Fargona	5:0 ✺
Azerbaijan Premier League
21.12.25	Gabala - Qarabağ Agdam	1:2 ✺
18.12.25	Sabah - Qarabağ Agdam	2:1 ✺
14.12.25	Qarabağ Agdam - Araz Naxçıvan	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWWLW
- Eintracht Frankfurt
German Bundesliga
16.01.26	Werder Bremen - Eintracht Frankfurt	3:3 ✺
13.01.26	Stuttgart - Eintracht Frankfurt	3:2 ✺
09.01.26	Eintracht Frankfurt - Borussia Dortmund	3:3 ✺
20.12.25	Hamburger SV - Eintracht Frankfurt	1:1 ✺
13.12.25	Eintracht Frankfurt - Augsburg	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TLTTW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
29.08.13	Eintracht Frankfurt - Qarabağ Agdam	2:1
22.08.13	Qarabağ Agdam - Eintracht Frankfurt	0:2

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