The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Qarabağ Agdam 47.2%
Draw 26%
Freiburg 26.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.5%
27.9%
37.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.5%
29.6%
39.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Qarabağ Agdam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Qarabağ Agdam's performance.
Freiburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Freiburg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qarabağ Agdam than the current prediction. (-14.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Qarabağ Agdam that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (+13.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Freiburg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
85.1%
4.7%
10.2%
Qarabağ Agdam - Freiburg Predictions
Users Predictions:
255 users predict this event. Qarabağ will win (votes: 217 - 85.1%). Freiburg will win (votes: 26 - 10.2%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 4.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Qarabağ: 80.7% – 89.5%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Playing home matches at a different stadium.
Qarabağ has a good chance of knockout phase (71%), has a small chance of round of 16 (13%), has a very small chance of qtrs (3%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%), has currently - 7, has not chance of 1st, has a good chance of 2nd (71%), has a chance of 3rd (29%).
Freiburg was already of knockout phase, was already of round of 16, has a chance of qtrs (45%), has a chance of semis (21%), has a small chance of final (9%), has a very small chance of win league (4%), has currently - 13, was already of 1st, has not chance of 2nd, has not chance of 3rd.
This event has quality58, importance41, match rating50. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.
Qarabağ will have a poor advantage in this game.
There will not play in Freiburg: Ezekwem K.
(Tendon Injury)
Gulde M.
(Injury)
Schmid J.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Qarabağ: Huseynov B.
(Injury)
Leandro Andrade
(Injury)
Last 1 head-to-head matches Qarabağ won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
Australia
Austria
Finland
Germany
Norway
Poland
Serbia
Sweden
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