The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Schalke 04 24.1%
Draw 26.1%
Freiburg 49.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
24.5%
25.7%
49.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.2%
25.3%
50.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Schalke 04 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
Freiburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Schalke 04 than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
22.7%
3.1%
74.2%
Schalke 04 - Freiburg Predictions
Users Predictions:
97 users predict this event. Schalke will win (votes: 22 - 22.7%). Freiburg will win (votes: 72 - 74.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 3.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Freiburg: 65.5% – 82.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Preview
Schalke has the most likely position - 18 (39.01%), has project points - 27, has currently - 6, has a good chance of relegated (68%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Freiburg has the most likely position - 3 (14.12%), has project points - 56, has currently - 21, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of qualify for ucl (42%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).
This event has quality63, importance51, match rating57. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Schalke won 0.
Schalke has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Freiburg is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Freiburg could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Freiburg is a favorite.
There will not play in Schalke: Cisse I.
(Injury)
Greiml L.
(Knee Injury)
Kaminski M.
(Calf Injury)
Zalazar R.
(Injury)
van den Berg S.
(Ankle Injury)
There will not play in Freiburg: Ezekwem K.
(Tendon Injury)
Gulde M.
(Injury)
Sallai R.
(Eye injury)
Schmid J.
(Injury)
Our prediction for today's Freiburg to win the game is with odds 1.93.
Last 16 head-to-head matches Schalke won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 13-22.
Including matches at home between the teams Schalke won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-8.
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