Match Info

ENGLAND: EFL Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 September 2024, Tuesday

Location: Loftus Road (London)

Referee: Gill S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	StarTimes App
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport+
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free
Iceland	Viaplay
Indonesia	Vidio
Japan	DAZN Japan
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 2
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	Paramount+


	Queens Park Rangers		Crystal Palace

	1	X	2
	6.5	4.5	1.45	Watch
	6.25	4.5	1.49
	7	4.5	1.48	Watch
	6.73	4.54	1.49
	6.35	4.49	1.49	Watch
	5.5	4	1.6
	6.45	4.5	1.49	Watch
	7	4.5	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.47 ↑ (3.8)	4.44 ↑ (3.6)	1.5 ↓ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Queens Park Rangers
14.7%

Draw
21.5%

Crystal Palace
63.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.8%

26.2%

48.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.2%

24.8%

46.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Queens Park Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Queens Park Rangers's form might have worsened.

Crystal Palace has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Crystal Palace's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Queens Park Rangers than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Queens Park Rangers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crystal Palace than the current prediction. (-17.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Crystal Palace, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	6.2%	93.7%

Queens Park Rangers - Crystal Palace Predictions

Users Predictions: Crystal Palace will win (14 of 14 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Walsh J. (G) 20. Ashby H. 5. Cook S. (C) 8. Field S. 22. Paal K. 40. Varane J. 19. Dixon-Bonner E. 11. Smyth P. 24. Madsen N. 14. Saito K. 18. Celar Z.	1. Henderson D. (G) 26. Richards C. 6. Guehi M. (C) 5. Lacroix M. 12. Munoz D. 8. Lerma J. 18. Kamada D. 3. Mitchell T. 9. Nketiah E. 10. Eze E. 14. Mateta J.
Substitutes
25. Andersen L. 27. Bennie D. 7. Dembele K. 3. Dunne J. 12. Frey M. 23. Hevertton S. 28. Lloyd A. 21. Morgan K. 1. Nardi P. (G)	64. Agbinone A. 17. Clyne N. 19. Hughes W. 7. Sarr I. 15. Schlupp J. 30. Turner M. (G) 46. Umeh F. 2. Ward J. 20. Wharton A.
Coaches
Cifuentes M.	Glasner O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Nketiah E. ⚽, Eze E. (A),
27', Varane J. 🟨,
29', Kamada D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Dixon-Bonner E. ↓, Dembele K. ↑,
53', 1 - 1, Field S. ⚽,
56', Nketiah E. 🟨,
58', Ashby H. 🟨,
64', 1 - 2, Eze E. ⚽, Kamada D. (A),
65', Nketiah E. ↓, Sarr I. ↑,
68', Saito K. ↓, Hevertton S. ↑,
68', Ashby H. ↓, Lloyd A. ↑,
74', Mateta J. ↓, Hughes W. ↑,
76', Smyth P. 🟨,
80', Smyth P. ↓, Andersen L. ↑,
80', Madsen N. ↓, Dunne J. ↑,
90+1', Henderson D. 🟨,
90+3', Kamada D. ↓, Schlupp J. ↑,
90+5', Field S. 🟨,

Preview

QPR is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Crystal Palace is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Crystal Palace is absolute favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches QPR won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-6.

Including matches at home between the teams QPR won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Queens Park Rangers
English League Championship
14.09.24	Sheffield Wednesday - Queens Park Rangers	1:1 ✺
30.08.24	Luton Town - Queens Park Rangers	1:2 ✺
English League Cup
27.08.24	Queens Park Rangers - Luton Town	2:1 penalties ✺
English League Championship
24.08.24	Queens Park Rangers - Plymouth Argyle	1:1 ✺
17.08.24	Sheffield United - Queens Park Rangers	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 TWWTT
- Crystal Palace
English Premier League
14.09.24	Crystal Palace - Leicester City	2:2 ✺
01.09.24	Chelsea - Crystal Palace	1:1 ✺
English League Cup
27.08.24	Crystal Palace - Norwich City	4:0 ✺
English Premier League
24.08.24	Crystal Palace - West Ham United	0:2 ✺
18.08.24	Brentford - Crystal Palace	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
23.07.22	Queens Park Rangers - Crystal Palace	0:3
English Premier League
14.03.15	Crystal Palace - Queens Park Rangers	3:1
28.12.14	Queens Park Rangers - Crystal Palace	0:0

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