The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Derby County 37%
Draw 28.1%
Queens Park Rangers 34.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.6%
25.8%
31.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44%
26.6%
30.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Derby County's form might have worsened.
Queens Park Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (+7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Derby County, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Queens Park Rangers than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
36.8%
26.3%
36.8%
Derby County - Queens Park Rangers Predictions
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Derby will win (votes: 7 - 36.8%). QPR will win (votes: 7 - 36.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 26.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Derby: 15.1% โ 58.5%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +0.25 - QPR (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DC - QPR (1.48) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Derby (votes: 6 - 50%). QPR (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Widell Zetterstrom J. (G) 22. Johnston M. 28. Sanderson D. 5. Clarke M. 20. Elder C. 18. Ozoh D. 6. Langas S. 42. Clark B. 9. Morris C. (C) 25. Brereton Diaz B. 7. Agyemang P.
1. Nardi P. (G) 3. Dunne J. 5. Cook S. 27. Mbengue A. S. 24. Madsen N. 40. Varane J. 18. Norrington-Davies R. 14. Saito K. 22. Kone R. 20. Vale H. 16. Burrell R.
Substitutes
4. Batth D. 10. Brewster R. 19. Jackson K. 24. Nyambe R. 15. Salvesen L. 16. Thompson L. 31. Vickers J. (G) 23. Ward J. 14. Weimann A.
10. Chair I. 7. Dembele K. 8. Field S. 12. Frey M. 29. Hamer B. (G) 15. Hayden I. 21. Morgan K. 4. Morrison L. 11. Smyth P.
Coaches
Eustace J.
Stephan J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Morris C. ⚽, Langas S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Saito K. ↓, Chair I. ↑,
46', Vale H. ↓, Dembele K. ↑,
68', Madsen N. ↓, Smyth P. ↑,
68', Kone R. ↓, Frey M. ↑,
69', Varane J. 🟨,
71', Cook S. 🟨,
72', Agyemang P. ↓, Brewster R. ↑,
72', Brereton Diaz B. ↓, Jackson K. ↑,
75', Norrington-Davies R. ↓, Field S. ↑,
75', Ozoh D. 🟨,
88', Johnston M. ↓, Nyambe R. ↑,
90+2', Morris C. ↓, Salvesen L. ↑,
90+2', Morris C. 🟨,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 19 and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Derby won 2.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Derby may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Derby: Adams E.
(Yellow Cards)
Beck O.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Nelson C.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in QPR: Larkeche Z.
(Knee Injury)
Walsh J.
(Wrist Injury)
There are questionable in Derby: Thompson L.
(Knee Injury)
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Derby won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:18. (average 0.9:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Derby won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:5. (average 1.1:0.5).
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Widell Zetterstrom J. (G) 
Johnston M. 
Sanderson D. 
Elder C. 
Langas S. 
Brereton Diaz B. 
Agyemang P. 
Nardi P. (G) 
Dunne J. 
Mbengue A. S. 
Madsen N. 
Varane J. 
Norrington-Davies R. 
Saito K. 
Kone R. 
Burrell R. 
Nyambe R. 
Weimann A. 
Chair I. 
Frey M. 
Smyth P. 
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