Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 5

Date: 28 November 2023, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Stan Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	MTV Katsomo
France	beIN Sports Max
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Portugal	Eleven Sports 4
Serbia	Arena Sport
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Manchester City		RB Leipzig

	1	X	2
	1.33	5.5	9
	1.31	5.5	9.25
	1.32	5.75	9.7	Watch
	1.33	5.89	9.61
	1.32	5.89	9.62
	1.29	5.5	8.5
	1.3	5.75	9.9
	1.33	5.8	8.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.33)	5.7 ↑ (5.55)	9.27 ↑ (8.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manchester City
72.8%

Draw
16.8%

RB Leipzig
10.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.4%

17.1%

11.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.2%

16.9%

11.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manchester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

RB Leipzig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manchester City than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
89.5%	6.6%	3.9%

Manchester City - RB Leipzig Predictions

Users Predictions: Manchester City will win (68 of 76 users predict this - 89.47%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.57% – 96.37%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Ortega S. (G) 2. Walker K. (C) 25. Akanji M. 3. Dias R. 24. Gvardiol J. 16. Rodri 47. Foden P. 82. Lewis R. 20. Silva B. 10. Grealish J. 9. Haaland E.	21. Blaswich J. (G) 16. Klostermann L. 2. Simakan M. 23. Lukeba C. 22. Raum D. 13. Seiwald N. 8. Haidara A. 24. Schlager X. 20. Simons X. 17. Openda L. 10. Forsberg E. (C)
Substitutes
6. Ake N. 19. Alvarez J. 52. Bobb O. 33. Carson S. (G) 11. Doku J. 31. Ederson (G) 21. Gomez S. 4. Phillips K. 5. Stones J.	14. Baumgartner C. 18. Carvalho F. 1. Gulacsi P. (G) 39. Henrichs B. 44. Kampl K. 3. Lenz C. 9. Poulsen Y. 30. Sesko B.
Coaches
Guardiola P.	Rose M.

Preview

Man City is Qualified for Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

RB Leipzig is Qualified for Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Man City is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches RB Leipzig is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently RB Leipzig have a series of guest games.

In this match Man City is certain favorite.

There will not play in Man City: De Bruyne K. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in RB Leipzig: Bitshiabu E. (Knee Injury) Olmo D. (Shoulder Injury) Orban W. (Knee Injury) Werner T. (Groin Injury)

There are questionable in Man City: Grealish J. (Illness) Kovacic M. (Thigh Injury) Nunes M. (Muscle Injury)

Our prediction for today's Man City to win the game is with odds 1.33.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Man City won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 18-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Man City won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manchester City
English Premier League
25.11.23	Manchester City - Liverpool	1:1 ✺
12.11.23	Chelsea - Manchester City	4:4 ✺
UEFA Champions League
07.11.23	Manchester City - Young Boys	3:0 ✺
English Premier League
04.11.23	Manchester City - Bournemouth	6:1 ✺
29.10.23	Manchester United - Manchester City	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TTWWW
- RB Leipzig
German Bundesliga
25.11.23	Wolfsburg - RB Leipzig	2:1 ✺
12.11.23	RB Leipzig - Freiburg	3:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
07.11.23	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - RB Leipzig	1:2 ✺
German Bundesliga
04.11.23	Mainz - RB Leipzig	2:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
31.10.23	Wolfsburg - RB Leipzig	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
04.10.23	RB Leipzig - Manchester City	1:3
14.03.23	Manchester City - RB Leipzig	7:0
22.02.23	RB Leipzig - Manchester City	1:1
07.12.21	RB Leipzig - Manchester City	2:1
15.09.21	Manchester City - RB Leipzig	6:3

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