Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 2

Date: 2 October 2024, Wednesday

Location: Red Bull Arena (Leipzig)

Referee: Letexier F. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, SuperSport Variety 1, SuperSport Variety 2
Argentina	ESPN 3
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 3
Azerbaijan	CBC Sport
Belgium	Pickx+ Sports 5, Pickx+ Sports 5, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 5
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3, Moja TV
Brazil	Max
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	ESPN
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports
Colombia	ESPN 5
Croatia	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 5
Denmark	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
France	Canal+ Live 6
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 7
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 4
Hungary	RTL+, Sport 2
Iceland	Stod 2 Sport 4
India	Sony LIV
Indonesia	beIN Connect
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 6
Mexico	Caliente TV
Mongolia	Premier Sports 1
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 3
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2 Play
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Fox Sports 2
Philippines	beIN Connect
Poland	Canal+ Extra 3
Portugal	DAZN 4
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4
Russia	Okko Sport
Slovakia	Kanal A, Voyo
South-africa	Supersport Maximo 1 Champions
South-america	ESPN 5 South, ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 5, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 7, Blue Sport 7
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 6
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 6
Usa	Flow Sports 1, Paramount+
Venezuela	Inter
Vietnam	K+, ON Plus, ON Sport, TV 360
World	Disney+, JioTV app, Prima+ app


	RB Leipzig		Juventus

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.3	3
	2.4	3.2	3
	2.52	3.3	2.98
	2.46	3.25	3.22
	2.44	3.23	3.17	Watch
	2.4	3.2	3.2
	2.44	3.38	3.08
	2.45	3.25	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2.26)	3.26 ↓ (3.56)	3.09 ↓ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

RB Leipzig
39.4%

Draw
29.5%

Juventus
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

27%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

27.6%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

RB Leipzig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Juventus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventus than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
39%	35.6%	25.4%

RB Leipzig - Juventus Predictions

Users Predictions: 56 users predict this event. RB Leipzig will win (votes: 23 - 41.1%). Juventus will win (votes: 13 - 23.2%). It will Tie (votes: 20 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for RB Leipzig: 28.2% – 54%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gulacsi P. (G) 3. Geertruida L. 4. Orban W. (C) 23. Lukeba C. 22. Raum D. 14. Baumgartner C. 13. Seiwald N. 8. Haidara A. 10. Simons X. 30. Sesko B. 11. Openda L.	29. Di Gregorio M. (G) 37. Savona N. 3. Bremer (C) 15. Kalulu P. 27. Cambiaso A. 21. Fagioli N. 16. McKennie W. 11. Gonzalez N. 8. Koopmeiners T. 10. Yildiz K. 9. Vlahovic D.
Substitutes
19. Andre Silva 5. Bitshiabu E. 6. Elmas E. 47. Gebel V. 39. Henrichs B. 16. Klostermann L. 7. Nusa A. 9. Poulsen Y. 26. Vandevoordt M. (G) 18. Vermeeren A.	32. Cabal J. 7. Conceicao F. 6. Danilo 26. Douglas Luiz 4. Gatti F. 5. Locatelli M. 51. Mbangula S. 1. Perin M. (G) 23. Pinsoglio C. (G) 40. Rouhi J. 19. Thuram K.
Coaches
Rose M.	Motta T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', Bremer ↓, Gatti F. ↑,
12', Gonzalez N. ↓, Conceicao F. ↑,
30', 1 - 0, Sesko B. ⚽, Openda L. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Baumgartner C. ↓, Henrichs B. ↑,
50', 1 - 1, Vlahovic D. ⚽, Cambiaso A. (A),
59', Di Gregorio M. 🟥,
60', Yildiz K. ↓, Perin M. ↑,
61', Savona N. ↓, Douglas Luiz ↑,
65', 2 - 1, Sesko B. (Pen),
68', 2 - 2, Vlahovic D. ⚽, Conceicao F. (A),
75', Haidara A. ↓, Nusa A. ↑,
79', Raum D. 🟨,
82', 2 - 3, Conceicao F. ⚽, Fagioli N. (A),
85', Conceicao F. 🟨,
87', Geertruida L. ↓, Vermeeren A. ↑,
87', Seiwald N. ↓, Poulsen Y. ↑,
90+1', Openda L. ↓, Andre Silva ↑,
90+9', Perin M. 🟨,

Preview

Recent matches RB Leipzig is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Juventus is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Juventus could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in RB Leipzig: Kampl K. (Muscle Injury) Ouedraogo A. (Knee Injury) Schlager X. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Juventus: Pogba P. (Doping)

There are questionable in Juventus: Adzic V. (Injury) Milik A. (Knee Injury) Weah T. (Ankle Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RB Leipzig
German Bundesliga
28.09.24	RB Leipzig - Augsburg	4:0 ✺
22.09.24	St. Pauli - RB Leipzig	0:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
19.09.24	Atlético Madrid - RB Leipzig	2:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
14.09.24	RB Leipzig - Union Berlin	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
04.09.24	RB Leipzig - Meuselwitz	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WTLTW
- Juventus
Italian Serie A
28.09.24	Genoa - Juventus	0:3 ✺
21.09.24	Juventus - Napoli	0:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
17.09.24	Juventus - PSV Eindhoven	3:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
14.09.24	Empoli - Juventus	0:0 ✺
01.09.24	Juventus - Roma	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WTWTT

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