Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - League phase - Round 7

Date: 23 January 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Daugavas stadions (Riga) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Barbu M. (Rou)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 4, New World Sport App, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga
Albania	21:00	SuperSport 4
Argentina	17:00	ESPN
Armenia	00:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Australia	07:00	Stan Sport
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport 3, Moja TV
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada
China	04:00	QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	15:00	ESPN
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
Denmark	21:00	Disney+
Finland	22:00	Viaplay
France	21:00	Canal+ Live 4
Georgia	00:00	Setanta Sport 3
Germany	21:00	RTL+
Greece	22:00	COSMOTE Sport 9
Iceland	20:00	Viaplay
Indonesia	03:00	beIN Connect, Vidio
Israel	22:00	Sport 2
Italy	21:00	NOW TV, Sky Sport 255
Laos	03:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	04:00	beIN Connect
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	14:00	ESPN 2
Montenegro	21:00	Arena Sport 4
Myanmar	02:30	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	21:00	Ziggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport
New Zealand	09:00	DAZN New Zealand
North Central America	—	SportsMax Caribbean
North Macedonia	21:00	MaxTV GO
Norway	21:00	Viaplay
Peru	15:00	ESPN
Philippines	04:00	beIN Connect
Poland	21:00	Polsat Sport Premium 6
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 5
Russia	23:00	Okko Sport
Serbia	21:00	Arena Sport 4
South Africa	22:00	SuperSport La Liga
South America	—	ESPN South, ViX Latin America
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones 4
Sweden	21:00	Disney+
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Thailand	03:00	beIN Connect
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 4
United Kingdom	20:00	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 6
Usa	15:00	Paramount+
Venezuela	16:00	ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	03:00	ON Plus
International	20:00	Disney+, SportsMax App


	RFS		Ajax

	1	X	2
	8	4.5	1.4
	7.5	4.8	1.4
	7.5	5	1.42	Watch
	7.77	5.03	1.4
	7.68	4.97	1.39	Watch
	8	5	1.36
	8.95	5.33	1.4
	7.5	5	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.86 ↑ (5.49)	4.95 ↑ (4.54)	1.4 ↓ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

RFS
12.2%

Draw
19.3%

Ajax
68.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

17.5%

21.1%

61.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

RFS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that RFS's form might have worsened.

Ajax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ajax's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
2.5%	9.9%	87.7%

RFS - Ajax Predictions

Users Predictions: Ajax will win (71 of 80 users predict this - 88.75%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.83% – 95.67%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Ondoa F. (G) 30. Njie H. 23. Prenga H. 43. Lipuscek Z. (C) 11. Savalnieks R. 27. Markhiev A. 26. Panic S. 8. Odisharia L. 9. Ikaunieks J. 17. Kouadio C. 18. Zelenkovs D.	22. Pasveer R. (G) 3. Gaaei A. 37. Sutalo J. 24. Rugani D. 15. Baas Y. 28. Fitz-Jim K. 6. Henderson J. (C) 8. Taylor K. 20. Traore B. 9. Brobbey B. 11. Godts M.
Substitutes
22. Lemajic D. 25. Mares P. 15. Ndjiki R. 77. Silagadze L. 1. Steinbors P. (G) 21. Stuglis E. 16. Vilkovs S. (G)	10. Akpom Ch. 47. Alders G. 23. Berghuis S. 12. Gorter J. (G) 38. Hlynsson K. 13. Kaplan A. 16. Mannsverk S. 31. Mokio J. 40. Ramaj D. (G) 29. Rasmussen C. 21. van den Boomen B. 25. Weghorst W.
Coaches
Morozs V.	Farioli F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Markhiev A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Savalnieks R. 🟨,
60', Brobbey B. ↓, Berghuis S. ↑,
60', Gaaei A. ↓, Weghorst W. ↑,
60', Kouadio C. ↓, Lemajic D. ↑,
67', Panic S. 🟨,
73', Godts M. ↓, Akpom Ch. ↑,
78', 1 - 0, Markhiev A. ⚽,
81', Taylor K. ↓, van den Boomen B. ↑,
81', Traore B. ↓, Rasmussen C. ↑,
83', van den Boomen B. 🟨,

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - Daugavas stadions.

Ajax is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ajax could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Ajax have a series of guest games.

In this match Ajax is indisputable favorite.

There will not play in RFS: Diomande I. (Knee Injury) Kigurs M. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Ajax: Hato J. (Yellow Cards) Wijndal O. (Knock) van Axel Dongen A. (Knock)

There are questionable in Ajax: Tahirovic B. (Concussion)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK RFS
Club Friendly
18.01.25	Žalgiris - RFS	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
12.12.24	Maccabi Tel Aviv - RFS	2:1 ✺
28.11.24	RFS - PAOK	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
22.11.24	RFS - Flora Tallinn	3:0 ✺
Latvian Virsliga
10.11.24	RFS - Riga	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLLWL
- Ajax Amsterdam
Dutch Eredivisie
19.01.25	Heerenveen - Ajax	0:2 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
14.01.25	AZ Alkmaar - Ajax	2:0 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
11.01.25	Ajax - Waalwijk	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
05.01.25	Stuttgart - Ajax	2:2 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
22.12.24	Sparta Rotterdam - Ajax	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLWTW

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