Match Info

WORLD: Club Friendly

Date: 5 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Robert Schlienz Stadium (Stuttgart)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Sky Go Austria
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga, Sky Sport Top event, WOW


	Stuttgart		Ajax

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.6	3.2
				Watch
				Watch
	1.95	3.6	3.25
	1.97	4	3.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.25)	3.73 ↓ (4)	3.28 ↑ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stuttgart
47.5%

Draw
24.6%

Ajax
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

23.7%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

23.2%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stuttgart has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stuttgart's performance.

Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ajax might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stuttgart than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ajax could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Stuttgart - Ajax Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Nubel A. (G) 29. Rouault A. 24. Chabot J. 7. Mittelstadt M. 4. Vagnoman J. 16. Karazor A. (C) 6. Stiller A. 27. Fuhrich C. 8. Millot E. 11. Woltemade N. 9. Demirovic E.	1. Pasveer R. (G) 2. Rensch D. 3. Rugani D. 4. Baas Y. 5. Hato J. 10. Berghuis S. 6. Henderson J. (C) 8. Taylor K. 7. Traore B. 9. Brobbey B. 11. Godts M.
Substitutes
2. Al Dakhil A. 1. Bredlow F. (G) 98. Bujupi E. 45. Chase A. 21. Drljaca S. (G) 3. Hendriks R. 5. Keitel Y. 99. Korkut E. 18. Leweling J. 47. Malanga J. 28. Nartey N. 10. Raimund L. 32. Rieder F. 15. Stenzel P. 20. Stergiou L.	20. Akpom Ch. 26. Faberski J. 19. Fitz-Jim K. 21. Gaaei A. 13. Gorter J. (G) 27. Hlynsson K. 25. Janse D. 23. Kaplan A. 17. Klaassen D. 22. Mannsverk S. 18. Mokio J. 12. Ramaj D. (G) 16. Rasmussen C. 15. van den Boomen B. 24. Weghorst W. 14. Wijndal O.
Coaches
Hoeness S.	Farioli F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Stiller A. ⚽, Fuhrich C. (A),
19', 2 - 0, Fuhrich C. ⚽,
25', Millot E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
52', 2 - 1, Chabot J. (Own goal),
57', Klaassen D. 🟥,
85', 2 - 2, Akpom Ch. ⚽,

Preview

Stuttgart is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Ajax is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ajax could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Stuttgart will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfB Stuttgart
German Bundesliga
21.12.24	Stuttgart - St. Pauli	0:1 ✺
15.12.24	Heidenheim - Stuttgart	1:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
11.12.24	Stuttgart - Young Boys	5:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
06.12.24	Stuttgart - Union Berlin	3:2 ✺
German DFB Pokal
03.12.24	Jahn Regensburg - Stuttgart	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWWWW
- Ajax Amsterdam
Dutch Eredivisie
22.12.24	Sparta Rotterdam - Ajax	0:2 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
19.12.24	Ajax - Telstar	2:0 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
15.12.24	Ajax - Almere City	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
12.12.24	Ajax - Lazio	1:3 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
08.12.24	AZ Alkmaar - Ajax	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WWWLL

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