Match Info

NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie - Round 18

Date: 11 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Johan Cruijff Arena (Amsterdam)

Referee: Bos A. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	ESPN 2
Argentina	ESPN 3
Belgium	Play Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV, Sportklub 2
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Ring, Voyo
Canada	Sportsnet Now Plus
Colombia	ESPN 3
Croatia	SportKlub 2
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 1, Cablenet Sports 1
Georgia	Silk Sport 3
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Greece	Nova Sports Start
India	Eurosport
Italy	Como TV
Japan	Fuji TV Next
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 1, ESPN Extra
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Poland	Polsat Sport 3
Portugal	Sport TV5
Slovakia	Arena sport 1, Sport TV2
Spain	GolStadium
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Inter
World	Disney+, SuperSport ESPN 2, Triller TV+


	Ajax		Waalwijk

	1	X	2
	1.13	10	15	Watch
	1.13	10	18.5
	1.11	9.7	22	Watch
	1.12	10.26	18.13
	1.13	9.45	18.03	Watch
	1.12	9	19
	1.12	9.5	18.5	Watch
	1.11	9.7	22
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.12 ↑ (1.11)	9.7 ↑ (9.55)	18.9 ↑ (18.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ajax
85.1%

Draw
9.8%

Waalwijk
5.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

84.9%

9.9%

5.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ajax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Waalwijk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	10%	15%

Ajax - Waalwijk Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Ajax will win (votes: 15 - 75%). Waalwijk will win (votes: 3 - 15%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ajax: 56% – 94%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Pasveer R. (G) 2. Rensch D. 24. Rugani D. 15. Baas Y. 4. Hato J. 18. Klaassen D. 6. Henderson J. (C) 8. Taylor K. 23. Berghuis S. 9. Brobbey B. 11. Godts M.	13. Kesting J. (G) 33. Al Mazyani F. 4. Van Gelderen L. 34. Wouters L. 28. Meijers A. 24. Roemeratoe G. (C) 6. Oukili Y. 18. van der Water S. 52. Ihattaren M. 19. Margaret R. 29. Kramer M.
Substitutes
10. Akpom Ch. 28. Fitz-Jim K. 3. Gaaei A. 12. Gorter J. (G) 13. Kaplan A. 16. Mannsverk S. 40. Ramaj D. (G) 29. Rasmussen C. 20. Traore B. 21. van den Boomen B. 25. Weghorst W. 5. Wijndal O.	7. Cleonise D. 35. Felida K. 1. Houwen J. (G) 11. Jakobsen A. . Lelieveld J. 14. Lokesa C. 10. Niemeijer R. 22. van de Loo T. 17. van Eijma R. 31. Vogels L. (G) 8. Vroegh P. 9. Zawada O.
Coaches
Farioli F.	Fraser H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Berghuis S. (Pen),
41', 2 - 0, Taylor K. ⚽, Henderson J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Hato J. ↓, Wijndal O. ↑,
46', Meijers A. ↓, Lelieveld J. ↑,
46', van der Water S. ↓, Cleonise D. ↑,
53', Kramer M. ↓, Zawada O. ↑,
57', Brobbey B. ↓, Weghorst W. ↑,
57', Taylor K. ↓, Fitz-Jim K. ↑,
68', Henderson J. ↓, van den Boomen B. ↑,
68', Margaret R. ↓, Jakobsen A. ↑,
75', Godts M. ↓, Akpom Ch. ↑,
82', Roemeratoe G. ↓, van de Loo T. ↑,
86', 2 - 1, Ihattaren M. ⚽, Cleonise D. (A),
90+2', Wijndal O. 🟨,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ajax won 5.

Ajax is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Waalwijk is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ajax could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ajax is indisputable favorite.

There will not play in Ajax: van Axel Dongen A. (Knock)

There will not play in Waalwijk: El Harmazi N. (Shoulder Injury)

There are questionable in Ajax: Avila G. (Knee Injury) Sutalo J. (Injury) Tahirovic B. (Concussion)

There are questionable in Waalwijk: Familia-Castillo J. (Injury) Van den Buijs D. (Injury) Weidmann D. (Injury) van Osch Y. (Injury) van der Venne R. (Injury)

Last 18 head-to-head matches Ajax won 17 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 53:10 (average 2.9:0.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Ajax won 8 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 27:5 (average 3:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ajax Amsterdam
Club Friendly
05.01.25	Stuttgart - Ajax	2:2 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
22.12.24	Sparta Rotterdam - Ajax	0:2 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
19.12.24	Ajax - Telstar	2:0 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
15.12.24	Ajax - Almere City	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
12.12.24	Ajax - Lazio	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TWWWL
- RKC Waalwijk
Dutch Eredivisie
20.12.24	Waalwijk - Zwolle	1:1 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
17.12.24	Waalwijk - Cambuur	4:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
14.12.24	Fortuna Sittard - Waalwijk	3:2 ✺
07.12.24	Waalwijk - Feyenoord	2:3 ✺
29.11.24	Heerenveen - Waalwijk	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
29.09.24	Waalwijk - Ajax	0:2
21.01.24	Ajax - Waalwijk	4:1
06.12.23	Waalwijk - Ajax	2:3
12.02.23	Ajax - Waalwijk	3:1
22.10.22	Waalwijk - Ajax	1:4
06.03.22	Ajax - Waalwijk	3:2
21.11.21	Waalwijk - Ajax	0:5

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