Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 6

Date: 29 May 2025, Thursday

Location: Estadio Juan Domingo Perón (Avellaneda)

Referee: Herrera A. (Ven)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Sports 2
Belarus	Okko Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Disney+, ESPN
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Georgia	Silk Universal
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Indonesia	Mola TV
Israel	Sport 2
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 2
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Polsat Sport 1
Portugal	Sport TV2
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
South-america	ESPN 7 Latin America, ESPN7 South, ViX Latin America
Spain	LaLiga+ app
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter


	Racing		Fortaleza

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.4	5.5	Watch
	1.87	3.2	4.5
	1.78	3.35	4.9	Watch
	1.74	3.37	5.52
	1.78	3.36	5.24	Watch
	1.83	3.2	4.5	Watch
	1.73	3.41	5.51	Watch
	1.78	3.35	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.86)	3.33 ↓ (3.38)	5.07 ↑ (4.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Racing
53%

Draw
28.3%

Fortaleza
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.6%

27.9%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

27.1%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Racing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.1%	65.2%	8.7%

Racing - Fortaleza Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Racing will win (votes: 5 - 23.8%). Fortaleza will win (votes: 2 - 9.5%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 46.5% – 86.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Racing (votes: 2 - 25%). Tie (votes: 6 - 75%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Fortaleza (3.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Fortaleza (3.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH +1 - Fortaleza (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Fortaleza (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Racing (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Fortaleza (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 6 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Arias G. (C) 3. Di Cesare M. 13. Sosa S. 2. Garcia A. 15. Martirena Torres G. N. 5. Nardoni J. 32. Almendra A. E. 27. Rojas G. 24. Fernandez A. 41. Degregorio R. M. 9. Adrian Martinez	1. Joao Ricardo (G) 33. Britez E. 13. Kuscevic B. 23. David Luiz 6. Bruno Pacheco 20. Matheus Rossetto 28. Pedro Augusto 7. Pochettino T. 11. Marinho 9. Lucero J. (C) 26. Breno Lopes
Substitutes
77. Balboa A. 16. Barrios M. 25. Cambeses F. (G) 23. Colombo N. 20. German Conti 49. Gonzalez D. 34. Mura F. 35. Quiros S. 19. Rodriguez I. 7. Salas M. 26. Sanchez R. 11. Zaracho M.	77. Andrade K. 32. Avila G. 12. Brenno (G) 10. Calebe 18. Deyverson 8. Emmanuel Martinez 39. Gustavo Mancha 38. Lucca Prior 14. Mancuso E. 2. Tinga 22. Yago Pikachu 17. Ze Welison
Coaches
Costas G.	Vojvoda J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Matheus Rossetto ↓, Emmanuel Martinez ↑,
24', Britez E. 🟨,
45+2', Adrian Martinez 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', Degregorio R. M. ↓, Zaracho M. ↑,
61', Fernandez A. ↓, Salas M. ↑,
71', Lucero J. ↓, Deyverson ↑,
71', Breno Lopes ↓, Lucca Prior ↑,
71', Almendra A. E. ↓, Sanchez R. ↑,
71', Marinho 🟨,
77', Pedro Augusto ↓, Ze Welison ↑,
80', Martirena Torres G. N. 🟨,
89', Lucca Prior 🟨,
90+1', Kuscevic B. 🟨,
90+4', 1 - 0, Adrian Martinez ⚽, Di Cesare M. (A),

Preview

Racing is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Racing is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Fortaleza's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Racing may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Fortaleza has had a series of home games.

In this match, Racing is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Racing: Garcia A. (Muscle Injury) Salas M. (Muscle Injury) Zuculini B. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Fortaleza: Bruninho (Inactive) Matheus Rossetto (Inactive) Moises (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Racing: Almendra A. E. (Inactive) Solari S. (Injury) Zaracho M. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Fortaleza: Lucas Sasha (Forearm injury) Rodrigo (Lacking Match Fitness)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Racing won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Club de Avellaneda
Copa Libertadores
14.05.25	Racing - Colo-Colo	4:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
10.05.25	Racing - Platense	0:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
06.05.25	Atlético Bucaramanga - Racing	0:4 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
02.05.25	Racing - Newells Old Boys	1:0 ✺
28.04.25	Defensa y Justicia - Racing	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLWWW
- Fortaleza EC
Brazilian Serie A
25.05.25	Fortaleza - Cruzeiro	0:2 ✺
Copa do Brasil
21.05.25	Fortaleza - Retrô Brasil	1:2 penalties ✺
Brazilian Serie A
17.05.25	Vasco da Gama - Fortaleza	3:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
13.05.25	Fortaleza - Atlético Bucaramanga	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
10.05.25	Fortaleza - Juventude	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
01.04.25	Fortaleza - Racing	0:3

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