The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Racing Santander 60.9%
Draw 22.1%
Mirandés 16.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
65.7%
20.9%
13.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.7%
15.8%
17.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Racing Santander has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
Mirandés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Santander than the current prediction. (-11.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Racing Santander that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirandés than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
80%
13.3%
6.7%
Racing Santander - Mirandés Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Racing (votes: 2 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
1X2, 1st Half - Racing (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH -1 - Racing (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Racing Santander will win
(11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%). Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% – 100%.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Racing (votes: 4 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Ezkieta J. (G) 2. Mantilla A. 4. Manu 16. Gonzalez F. 32. Salinas J. 23. Rodriguez D. 19. Puerta G. 11. Martin A. 10. Vicente I. 20. Camara S. 7. Guliashvili G.
13. Juanpa (G) 27. Tamarit T. 22. Gutierrez J. (C) 19. Maras N. 15. Cabello J. 3. Medrano F. 28. Hernandez J. 29. Houary A. 16. Clua S. 6. Helguera T. 10. Fernandez C.
Substitutes
8. Aldasoro A. 9. Arana J. 5. Castro J. 13. Eriksson S. (G) 44. Fuentes D. 3. Garcia M. 14. Gueye M. 6. Sainz-Maza I. 15. Sangalli M. 36. Sergio M.
9. Balde S. 24. Cordoba I. 30. El Jebari S. 31. Gorrin A. (G) 14. Mari A. 8. Martin Luis A. 2. Novoa Ramos H. 4. Pascual M. 5. Pica A. 20. Sia D.
Coaches
Lopez J.
Muneta A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Fernandez C. 🟨,
45+2', Clua S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 1 - 0, Martin A. ⚽,
54', Houary A. 🟨,
62', Rodriguez D. 🟨,
63', Tamarit T. ↓, Mari A. ↑,
65', Hernandez J. 🟨,
67', Camara S. ↓, Sangalli M. ↑,
68', Rodriguez D. ↓, Gueye M. ↑,
70', Salinas J. 🟨,
75', Clua S. ↓, Novoa Ramos H. ↑,
75', Cabello J. ↓, El Jebari S. ↑,
76', Novoa Ramos H. 🟨,
80', Vicente I. ↓, Sainz-Maza I. ↑,
88', Martin A. ↓, Arana J. ↑,
88', Guliashvili G. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
90+1', Houary A. 🟨,
90+6', Arana J. 🟨,
90+6', Arana J. 🟨,
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga and 22 in the zone Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Racing won 1.
In recent matches, Racing has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Mirandés has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Mirandés may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Racing is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Racing: Arana J.
(Injury)
Ramon P.
(Yellow Cards)
Sergio M.
(Injury)
Villalibre A.
(Muscle Injury)
There will not play in Mirandés: Bauza R.
(Yellow Cards)
Lopez P.
(Knee Injury)
Postigo S.
(Inactive)
Varela I.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Mirandés: Bauza R.
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Racing won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:21. (average 1.3:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Racing won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.7:1.2).