Match Info

SCOTLAND: CHALLENGE CUP - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 9 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Stark's Park (Kirkcaldy)


	Raith Rovers		Cliftonville

	1	X	2
	1.45	3.75	6
	1.55	4.15	5.45
	1.53	4.33	5.7
	1.83	3.7	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (2.06)	3.98 ↑ (3.52)	5.2 ↑ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Raith Rovers
58.7%

Draw
23.4%

Cliftonville
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

26.1%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

25.4%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Raith Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Raith Rovers's performance.

Cliftonville has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cliftonville might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raith Rovers than the current prediction. (-12.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Raith Rovers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cliftonville than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cliftonville could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Raith Rovers - Cliftonville Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Raith will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Cliftonville will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Raith is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Cliftonville is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Raith will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Raith Rovers
Scottish Football Championship
02.09.23	Raith Rovers - Queens Park	3:2 ✺
26.08.23	Dunfermline Athletic - Raith Rovers	0:1 ✺
Scottish League Cup
20.08.23	Hibernian - Raith Rovers	2:1 ✺
Scottish Football Championship
12.08.23	Raith Rovers - Greenock Morton	3:2 ✺
05.08.23	Partick Thistle - Raith Rovers	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 WWLWT
- Cliftonville FC
Northern Irish Premiership
02.09.23	Glentoran - Cliftonville	1:0 ✺
26.08.23	Cliftonville - Larne	1:1 ✺
22.08.23	Linfield - Cliftonville	2:1 ✺
19.08.23	Cliftonville - Carrick Rangers	4:0 ✺
15.08.23	Newry City - Cliftonville	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LTLWW

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