Match Info

SCOTLAND: CHALLENGE CUP - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 14 October 2023, Saturday


	Raith Rovers		Montrose

	1	X	2
	1.22	5.75	9
	1.24	5.5	8.75
	1.22	6	11	Watch
	1.25	5.79	9.93
	1.36	4.4	6.5
	1.22	6.1	10.5
	1.27	5.4	8.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.51)	5.56 ↑ (4)	9.18 ↑ (5.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Raith Rovers
73.4%

Draw
16.6%

Montrose
10%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.8%

22.5%

17.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.3%

23.4%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Raith Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Raith Rovers's performance.

Montrose has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Montrose might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raith Rovers than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Raith Rovers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montrose than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Montrose could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Raith Rovers - Montrose Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Raith won 4.

Now both teams are in good shape.

In this match Raith is indisputable favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Raith won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 21-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Raith won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Raith Rovers
Scottish Football Championship
07.10.23	Raith Rovers - Dundee United	1:1 ✺
30.09.23	Ayr United - Raith Rovers	1:2 ✺
23.09.23	Airdrieonians - Raith Rovers	1:0 ✺
16.09.23	Raith Rovers - Inverness	1:0 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
09.09.23	Raith Rovers - Cliftonville	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TWLWW
- Montrose FC
Scottish League One
07.10.23	Montrose - Alloa Athletic	2:1 ✺
30.09.23	Falkirk - Montrose	3:2 ✺
23.09.23	Montrose - Stirling Albion	1:0 ✺
16.09.23	Montrose - Edinburgh City	5:2 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
09.09.23	Cove Rangers - Montrose	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
27.06.23	Montrose - Raith Rovers	1:3
Scottish League One
25.01.20	Raith Rovers - Montrose	4:3
30.11.19	Montrose - Raith Rovers	0:1
24.08.19	Raith Rovers - Montrose	3:0
04.05.19	Montrose - Raith Rovers	1:1
23.02.19	Raith Rovers - Montrose	4:1
08.12.18	Montrose - Raith Rovers	3:2

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