Match Info

URUGUAY: Primera Division - Apertura - Round 8

Date: 14 April 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Olímpico (Montevideo)

Referee: Riveiro D. (Uru)


	Rampla Juniors		Racing Montevideo

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.6	1.85	Watch
	3.5	3.4	1.9
	3.75	3.5	1.9	Watch
	4.09	3.65	1.93
	4.03	3.62	1.93
	3.5	3.4	1.91
	3.69	3.47	1.96	Watch
	3.7	3.55	1.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.76 ↑ (3.16)	3.52 ↑ (3.26)	1.91 ↓ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rampla Juniors
24.8%

Draw
26.4%

Racing Montevideo
48.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.2%

28.4%

42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rampla Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Racing Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Racing Montevideo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rampla Juniors than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Montevideo than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Racing Montevideo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	42.9%	57.1%

Rampla Juniors - Racing Montevideo Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Racing will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Freitas A. (C) 17. Barrandeguy F. 3. Centurion L. 24. Gorga S. 8. Gabriel G. 20. Tamareo L. 5. Mendez I. 6. Ospitaleche F. 22. Dibble N. 7. Barreto G. 23. Anasco M.	1. Bacchia R. (G) 4. Cotugno G. 2. Magallanes H. 5. Monzon L. 17. Ferreira M. 14. De Los Santos E. 21. Rodriguez L. 7. Varela J. (C) 27. Veron T. 9. Nandin D. 20. Urretaviscaya J.
Substitutes
19. Burruzo M. 28. Casuriaga F. 15. Graces A. 21. Leites A. 10. Machado G. 30. Madruga A. 26. Nunez M. 14. Rosa D. 11. Royon N. 12. Samurio A. (G)	19. Airala C. 18. Alaniz A. 3. Bueno G. 29. Hernandez A. 77. Mederos S. 52. Mendez E. 25. Odriozola R. (G) 34. Pereira A. 6. Quinonez O. 10. Rivero J.
Coaches
Castillo J.	Espinel E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
26', Urretaviscaya J. 🟨,
43', 0 - 1, Varela J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Tamareo L. ↓, Machado G. ↑,
56', Ospitaleche F. ↓, Royon N. ↑,
65', Barreto G. ↓, Casuriaga F. ↑,
65', Anasco M. ↓, Rosa D. ↑,
71', Urretaviscaya J. ↓, Rivero J. ↑,
71', De Los Santos E. ↓, Hernandez A. ↑,
74', Machado G. ↓, Burruzo M. ↑,
78', Rosa D. 🟨,
82', Mendez I. 🟨,
85', Veron T. ↓, Alaniz A. ↑,
90', Hernandez A. 🟨,
90+1', Nandin D. ↓, Mendez E. ↑,
90+2', Varela J. ↓, Mederos S. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rampla Juniors won 1.

Rampla Juniors is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Racing is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Racing could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Racing will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Rampla Juniors won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 24-25.

Including matches at home between the teams Rampla Juniors won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rampla Juniors
Uruguayan Primera Division
07.04.24	Cerro - Rampla Juniors	3:0 ✺
30.03.24	Rampla Juniors - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	1:0 ✺
27.03.24	Progreso - Rampla Juniors	4:2 ✺
23.03.24	Rampla Juniors - Miramar Misiones	1:1 ✺
11.03.24	Cerro Largo - Rampla Juniors	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWLTL
- Racing Montevideo
Copa Sudamericana
09.04.24	Argentinos Juniors - Racing Montevideo	0:3 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
06.04.24	Racing Montevideo - Miramar Misiones	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
02.04.24	Racing Montevideo - Corinthians	1:1 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
29.03.24	Cerro Largo - Racing Montevideo	0:2 ✺
16.03.24	Racing Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.3 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
07.08.22	Rampla Juniors - Racing Montevideo	1:0
15.05.22	Racing Montevideo - Rampla Juniors	1:0
25.03.22	Racing Montevideo - Rampla Juniors	2:0
21.09.21	Racing Montevideo - Rampla Juniors	2:0
10.06.21	Rampla Juniors - Racing Montevideo	2:2
09.12.20	Rampla Juniors - Racing Montevideo	3:0
03.12.20	Racing Montevideo - Rampla Juniors	1:0

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