Match Info

Date: 27 February 2021, Saturday


	Rayo Vallecano		Ponferradina

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.1	6	Watch
	1.87	3.1	4.75
	1.82	3.15	5.1	Watch
	1.79	3.15	4.9
	1.84	3.28	5.48
				Watch
	1.85	3.16	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (1.86)	3.16 ↑ (3.07)	5.24 ↑ (5.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rayo Vallecano
52%

Draw
30%

Ponferradina
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

30.6%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

18.3%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rayo Vallecano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Ponferradina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (-21.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rayo Vallecano that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ponferradina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	6.7%	26.7%

Rayo Vallecano - Ponferradina Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Rayo Vallecano will win (votes: 20 - 66.7%). Ponferradina will win (votes: 8 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rayo Vallecano: 49.8% – 83.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion to LaLiga2 (Promotion to Play Offs) and 7).

Rayo Vallecano has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (58%), has a chance of promoted (16%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Ponferradina has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (21%), has a very small chance of promoted (4%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Rayo Vallecano is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Ponferradina is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Rayo Vallecano could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Rayo Vallecano is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Rayo Vallecano won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Rayo Vallecano won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rayo Vallecano
Spanish LaLiga2
21.02.21	Málaga - Rayo Vallecano	2:0 ✺
13.02.21	Cartagena - Rayo Vallecano	2:2 ✺
07.02.21	Rayo Vallecano - Tenerife	0:1 ✺
31.01.21	Espanyol - Rayo Vallecano	2:3 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
27.01.21	Rayo Vallecano - Barcelona	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LTLWL
- SD Ponferradina
Spanish LaLiga2
19.02.21	Ponferradina - Mirandés	1:0 ✺
13.02.21	Tenerife - Ponferradina	1:0 ✺
08.02.21	Ponferradina - Alcorcón	2:0 ✺
29.01.21	Zaragoza - Ponferradina	1:0 ✺
23.01.21	Málaga - Ponferradina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
27.09.20	Ponferradina - Rayo Vallecano	3:0
18.01.20	Ponferradina - Rayo Vallecano	1:1
26.10.19	Rayo Vallecano - Ponferradina	1:3

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