Match Info

Date: 7 February 2021, Sunday


	Rayo Vallecano		Tenerife

	1	X	2
	2.05	3	4	Watch
	2.05	3	4.1
	2.1	3	3.85	Watch
	2.09	3	3.7
	2.16	3.17	3.99
	1.88	3	4.8	Watch
	2.14	2.98	4.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (1.81)	3.02 ↓ (3.13)	4.07 ↓ (5.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rayo Vallecano
45.6%

Draw
31.2%

Tenerife
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

30.1%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.3%

23.6%

14%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rayo Vallecano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rayo Vallecano's form might have worsened.

Tenerife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tenerife's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (+20.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rayo Vallecano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tenerife than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tenerife, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	7.4%	14.8%

Rayo Vallecano - Tenerife Predictions

Users Predictions: 54 users predict this event. Rayo Vallecano will win (votes: 42 - 77.8%). Tenerife will win (votes: 8 - 14.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 7.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rayo Vallecano: 66.7% – 88.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion to LaLiga2 (Promotion to Play Offs) and 16).

Rayo Vallecano has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (72%), has a chance of promoted (30%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).

Tenerife has a chance of relegated (16%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (3%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Tenerife could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Rayo Vallecano will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Rayo Vallecano won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Rayo Vallecano won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rayo Vallecano
Spanish LaLiga2
31.01.21	Espanyol - Rayo Vallecano	2:3 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
27.01.21	Rayo Vallecano - Barcelona	1:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
23.01.21	Rayo Vallecano - Mallorca	1:3 ✺
19.01.21	Mirandés - Rayo Vallecano	0:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
16.01.21	Rayo Vallecano - Elche	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WLLWW
- CD Tenerife
Spanish LaLiga2
31.01.21	Tenerife - Fuenlabrada	1:1 ✺
23.01.21	Lugo - Tenerife	2:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
17.01.21	Tenerife - Villarreal	0:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
10.01.21	Tenerife - Cartagena	3:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
06.01.21	Castellón - Tenerife	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
10.10.20	Tenerife - Rayo Vallecano	1:0
16.02.20	Tenerife - Rayo Vallecano	0:0
11.10.19	Rayo Vallecano - Tenerife	2:1
29.04.18	Rayo Vallecano - Tenerife	3:1
24.11.17	Tenerife - Rayo Vallecano	2:2
Spanish Copa del Rey
06.09.17	Rayo Vallecano - Tenerife	0:3
Spanish LaLiga2
08.04.17	Rayo Vallecano - Tenerife	1:1

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