Match Info

Date: 5 December 2020, Saturday


	Rayo Vallecano		UD Logroñés

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.5	6.5	Watch
	1.67	3.4	5.5
	1.68	3.4	5.6	Watch
	1.66	3.2	6
	1.69	3.39	6.83
				Watch
	1.7	3.34	6.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.68)	3.37 ↑ (3.37)	6.1 ↑ (5.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rayo Vallecano
56.5%

Draw
28%

UD Logroñés
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

27.9%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

16.5%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rayo Vallecano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

UD Logroñés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (-23.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rayo Vallecano that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD Logroñés than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that UD Logroñés could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37%	22.2%	40.7%

Rayo Vallecano - UD Logroñés Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Rayo Vallecano will win (votes: 10 - 37%). Logroñés will win (votes: 11 - 40.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Logroñés: 22.2% – 59.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 8 and 11).

Rayo Vallecano has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (37%), has a small chance of promoted (15%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Logroñés has a small chance of relegated (10%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (13%), has a very small chance of promoted (4%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Rayo Vallecano is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rayo Vallecano
Spanish LaLiga2
02.12.20	Leganés - Rayo Vallecano	1:0 ✺
28.11.20	Rayo Vallecano - Cartagena	0:0 ✺
25.11.20	Zaragoza - Rayo Vallecano	1:2 ✺
21.11.20	Rayo Vallecano - Castellón	2:1 ✺
16.11.20	Sporting de Gijón - Rayo Vallecano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LTWWT
- UD Logroñés
Spanish LaLiga2
02.12.20	UD Logroñés - Ponferradina	1:2 ✺
29.11.20	Mallorca - UD Logroñés	4:0 ✺
26.11.20	UD Logroñés - Albacete Balompié	2:0 ✺
22.11.20	Tenerife - UD Logroñés	0:1 ✺
15.11.20	UD Logroñés - Sabadell	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 LLWWW

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