Match Info

Date: 28 November 2020, Saturday


	Rayo Vallecano		Cartagena

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.4	4.75	Watch
	1.75	3.3	5
	1.75	3.45	4.9	Watch
	1.76	3.35	4.7
	1.85	3.43	5
				Watch
	1.79	3.48	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.75)	3.4 ↓ (3.42)	4.88 ↓ (4.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rayo Vallecano
53%

Draw
27.7%

Cartagena
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

27.5%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.8%

22.1%

15.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rayo Vallecano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Cartagena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rayo Vallecano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.1%	5.7%	17.1%

Rayo Vallecano - Cartagena Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Rayo Vallecano will win (votes: 27 - 77.1%). Cartagena will win (votes: 6 - 17.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 5.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rayo Vallecano: 63.2% – 91%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion to LaLiga2 (Promotion to Play Offs) and 16).

Rayo Vallecano has a very small chance of relegated (1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (40%), has a chance of promoted (21%), has a very small chance of win league (4%).

Cartagena has a chance of relegated (25%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (5%), has a very small chance of promoted (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Recent matches Rayo Vallecano is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cartagena has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Cartagena could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Rayo Vallecano is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Rayo Vallecano won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rayo Vallecano
Spanish LaLiga2
25.11.20	Zaragoza - Rayo Vallecano	1:2 ✺
21.11.20	Rayo Vallecano - Castellón	2:1 ✺
16.11.20	Sporting de Gijón - Rayo Vallecano	1:1 ✺
08.11.20	Rayo Vallecano - Almería	0:1 ✺
01.11.20	Lugo - Rayo Vallecano	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWTLL
- FC Cartagena
Spanish LaLiga2
25.11.20	Cartagena - Mallorca	1:2 ✺
21.11.20	Mirandés - Cartagena	4:1 ✺
15.11.20	Castellón - Cartagena	2:1 ✺
Colombian Primera B
14.11.20	Internacional de Palmira - Cartagena	1:0 ✺
09.11.20	Cartagena - Internacional de Palmira	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
25.07.14	Cartagena - Rayo Vallecano	1:3

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