Match Info

Date: 13 February 2021, Saturday


	Cartagena		Rayo Vallecano

	1	X	2
	3.3	3	2.3	Watch
	3.2	2.85	2.45
	3.3	2.9	2.38	Watch
	3.25	2.9	2.33
	3.5	3.04	2.42
	3.3	2.8	2.45	Watch
	3.24	3.18	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.3 ↑ (3.26)	2.95 ↑ (2.82)	2.38 ↓ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cartagena
28.6%

Draw
31.9%

Rayo Vallecano
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.8%

33.3%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.2%

24.5%

51.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cartagena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Rayo Vallecano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cartagena that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rayo Vallecano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	16.7%	58.3%

Cartagena - Rayo Vallecano Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Cartagena will win (votes: 6 - 25%). Rayo Vallecano will win (votes: 14 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rayo Vallecano: 38.6% – 78%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion to LaLiga2 (Promotion to Play Offs)).

Cartagena has a chance of relegated (48%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Rayo Vallecano has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (68%), has a chance of promoted (24%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Rayo Vallecano will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Cartagena won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Cartagena won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Cartagena
Spanish LaLiga2
06.02.21	Cartagena - Real Oviedo	2:0 ✺
31.01.21	Sporting de Gijón - Cartagena	0:0 ✺
25.01.21	Cartagena - Mirandés	0:2 ✺
Colombian Primera B
23.01.21	Atlético Cali - Cartagena	3:0 ✺
15.01.21	Cartagena - Internacional de Palmira	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WTLLW
- Rayo Vallecano
Spanish LaLiga2
07.02.21	Rayo Vallecano - Tenerife	0:1 ✺
31.01.21	Espanyol - Rayo Vallecano	2:3 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
27.01.21	Rayo Vallecano - Barcelona	1:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
23.01.21	Rayo Vallecano - Mallorca	1:3 ✺
19.01.21	Mirandés - Rayo Vallecano	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
28.11.20	Rayo Vallecano - Cartagena	0:0
Club Friendly
25.07.14	Cartagena - Rayo Vallecano	1:3

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