Match Info

ENGLAND: CHAMPIONSHIP - ROUND 20

Date: 4 November 2022, Friday

Location: Select Car Leasing Stadium (Reading)

Referee: Webb D. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Reading		Preston North End

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.1	3.3
	2.35	3.1	3.2
	2.45	3.15	3.2
	2.39	3.05	3.05
	2.41	3.16	3.36
	2.38	3	3.2
	2.36	3.2	3.2	Watch
	2.43	3.15	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↓ (2.5)	3.11 ↓ (3.19)	3.21 ↑ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Reading
39.9%

Draw
30.5%

Preston North End
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

29.4%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

29.5%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reading has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Preston North End has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reading than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Preston North End than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.9%	27.8%	33.3%

Reading - Preston North End Predictions

Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Reading will win (votes: 14 - 38.9%). Preston will win (votes: 12 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 27.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Reading: 23% – 54.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 11 and 8).

Reading has the most likely position - 17 (6.16%), has project points - 60, has currently - 26, has a small chance of relegated (10%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (10%), has a very small chance of promoted (4%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Preston has the most likely position - 13 (6.25%), has project points - 64, has currently - 28, has a very small chance of relegated (4%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (16%), has a small chance of promoted (7%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 41, small importance 18, small match rating 29. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Reading won 3.

Reading is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Preston is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Reading will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Reading: Azeez F. (Injury) Dann S. (Injury) Moore L. (Injury) Sarr M. (Injury)

There will not play in Preston: Bauer P. (Injury)

There are questionable in Reading: Hutchinson S. (Injury)

Last 14 head-to-head matches Reading won 8 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 16-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Reading won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Reading
English League Championship
01.11.22	Luton Town - Reading	0:0 ✺
29.10.22	Burnley - Reading	2:1 ✺
22.10.22	Reading - Bristol City	2:0 ✺
18.10.22	Swansea City - Reading	3:2 ✺
15.10.22	Reading - West Bromwich Albion	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TLWLL
- Preston North End
English League Championship
01.11.22	Preston North End - Swansea City	1:0 ✺
29.10.22	Preston North End - Middlesbrough	2:1 ✺
22.10.22	Blackpool - Preston North End	4:2 ✺
18.10.22	Huddersfield Town - Preston North End	0:1 ✺
15.10.22	Preston North End - Stoke City	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
19.02.22	Preston North End - Reading	2:3
14.08.21	Reading - Preston North End	2:1
24.01.21	Preston North End - Reading	0:0
04.11.20	Reading - Preston North End	0:3
29.12.19	Preston North End - Reading	0:2
19.10.19	Reading - Preston North End	1:0
30.03.19	Reading - Preston North End	2:1

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