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Current Win Probability
Watford 50.7%
Draw 27.9%
Reading 21.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.4%
25.6%
17.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58%
24.9%
17.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Watford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Watford's form might have worsened.
Reading has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Watford than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Watford, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reading than the current prediction. (-4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
80%
13.3%
6.7%
Watford - Reading Predictions
Users Predictions:
Watford will win
(48 of 60 users predict this - 80%). Confidence interval (95%): 69.88% – 90.12%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 7 and 12).
Watford has the most likely position - 3 (10.6%), has project points - 73, has currently - 29, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (38%), has a chance of promoted (28%), has a small chance of win league (8%).
Reading has the most likely position - 19 (6.7%), has project points - 58, has currently - 26, has a small chance of relegated (13%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (7%), has a very small chance of promoted (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality44, importance31, match rating37. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Watford won 4.
Recent matches Watford is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Reading is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Watford could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Watford is a favorite.
There will not play in Watford: Cleverley T.
(Injury)
Louza I.
(Knee Injury)
Manaj R.
(Injury)
There will not play in Reading: Dann S.
(Injury)
Moore L.
(Injury)
Sarr M.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Reading: Hutchinson S.
(Injury)
Last 8 head-to-head matches Watford won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-6.
Including matches at home between the teams Watford won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-2.
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