Match Info

ENGLAND: League One - Round 16

Date: 11 February 2025, Tuesday

Location: Select Car Leasing Stadium (Reading)


	Reading		Shrewsbury Town

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.1	3.3	Watch
	2.2	3.3	3.3	Watch
	2.22	3.39	3.41
	2.2	3.26	3.28	Watch
	2.25	3.25	3.3
	2.2	3.36	3.33	Watch
	2.2	3.3	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (1.68)	3.28 ↓ (4.03)	3.32 ↓ (4.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Reading
42.7%

Draw
28.8%

Shrewsbury Town
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

23.2%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.8%

21.6%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reading has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Reading's form might have worsened.

Shrewsbury Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shrewsbury Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reading than the current prediction. (+17.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Reading, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shrewsbury Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.4%	11.8%	5.9%

Reading - Shrewsbury Town Predictions

Users Predictions: Reading will win (14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.23% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Pereira J. (G) 5. Craig M. 27. Mbengue A. S. 24. Bindon T. 30. Garcia A. 7. Knibbs H. 29. Wing L. (C) 8. Savage C. 20. Campbell C. 19. Wareham J. 9. Ehibhatiomhan K.	31. Blackman J. (G) 6. Feeney J. 5. Feeney M. 23. Nurse G. 2. Hoole L. 8. Biggins H. 15. Gape D. 3. Benning M. 14. Perry T. 27. Marquis J. (C) 9. Lloyd G.
Substitutes
2. Abrefa K. 10. Bodin B. 1. Button D. (G) 28. Camara M. 34. Holzman L. 32. Kanu A. 14. Rushesha T.	18. Dinanga R. 17. Gilliead A. 22. Nsiala A. 11. Oliver V. 1. Savin T. (G) 26. Shipley J. 24. Stewart C.
Coaches
Hunt N.	Ainsworth G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', Campbell C. 🟨,
17', Marquis J. (Pen),
28', 1 - 0, Wareham J. ⚽, Ehibhatiomhan K. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Lloyd G. ↓, Oliver V. ↑,
51', Perry T. 🟨,
56', 1 - 1, Perry T. ⚽, Benning M. (A),
65', Garcia A. ↓, Abrefa K. ↑,
66', Campbell C. ↓, Camara M. ↑,
66', Wareham J. ↓, Bodin B. ↑,
67', Nurse G. ↓, Nsiala A. ↑,
67', Biggins H. ↓, Gilliead A. ↑,
73', Perry T. ↓, Shipley J. ↑,
84', Marquis J. ↓, Stewart C. ↑,
87', Ehibhatiomhan K. ↓, Kanu A. ↑,

Preview

Postponed due to international match.

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 9 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).

Recent matches Reading is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Shrewsbury has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Reading could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Shrewsbury have a series of guest games.

In this match Reading is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Reading won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:6 (average 2:3).

Including matches at home between the teams Reading won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Reading
English League One
08.02.25	Huddersfield Town - Reading	0:0 ✺
01.02.25	Reading - Bolton Wanderers	1:0 ✺
28.01.25	Burton Albion - Reading	3:2 ✺
25.01.25	Leyton Orient - Reading	2:0 ✺
18.01.25	Reading - Stockport County	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TWLLL
- Shrewsbury Town
English League One
08.02.25	Rotherham United - Shrewsbury Town	1:2 ✺
01.02.25	Shrewsbury Town - Mansfield Town	2:1 ✺
28.01.25	Stockport County - Shrewsbury Town	1:0 ✺
25.01.25	Charlton Athletic - Shrewsbury Town	1:0 ✺
16.01.25	Shrewsbury Town - Wrexham	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.8 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
24.02.24	Reading - Shrewsbury Town	2:3
11.11.23	Shrewsbury Town - Reading	3:2

Upcoming Matches