Match Info

ENGLAND: League One - Round 31

Date: 8 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Aesseal New York Stadium (Rotherham)

Referee: Baines D. (Eng)


	Rotherham United		Shrewsbury Town

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.4	5.5	Watch
	1.7	3.5	5
	1.68	3.6	5.5	Watch
	1.68	3.69	5.54
	1.7	3.41	5.41	Watch
	1.7	3.5	5.5
	1.7	3.46	5.59	Watch
	1.68	3.6	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.65)	3.52 ↓ (3.74)	5.44 ↑ (5.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rotherham United
55.9%

Draw
26.8%

Shrewsbury Town
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

25.1%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

23.6%

16.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rotherham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Shrewsbury Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rotherham United than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	7.7%	7.7%

Rotherham United - Shrewsbury Town Predictions

Users Predictions: Rotherham United will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Phillips D. (G) 2. Rafferty J. 22. Odoffin H. (C) 16. Jules Z. 6. James R. 25. Mpanzu P. 24. Humphreys C. 15. Sibley L. 11. Green A. 7. Powell J. 8. Nombe S.	31. Blackman J. (G) 5. Feeney M. 6. Feeney J. 16. Pierre A. 2. Hoole L. 15. Gape D. 17. Gilliead A. 3. Benning M. 14. Perry T. 9. Lloyd G. 27. Marquis J. (C)
Substitutes
1. Dawson C. (G) 35. Hatton B. 23. Holmes J. 10. Hugill J. 4. Kelly L. 5. Raggett S.	8. Biggins H. 23. Nurse G. 12. Ojo F. 11. Oliver V. 1. Savin T. (G) 26. Shipley J. 24. Stewart C.
Coaches
Evans S.	Ainsworth G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
68', 0 - 1, Perry T. ⚽,
76', 1 - 1, Odoffin H. ⚽, Powell J. (A),
77', 1 - 2, Marquis J. ⚽, Perry T. (A),
88', Humphreys C. 🟨,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 15 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rotherham won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Rotherham could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Rotherham is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Rotherham won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16:10 (average 1.3:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Rotherham won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:8 (average 1:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rotherham United
English EFL Trophy
04.02.25	Rotherham United - Bradford City	0:1 ✺
English League One
01.02.25	Birmingham City - Rotherham United	2:1 ✺
28.01.25	Rotherham United - Cambridge United	2:1 ✺
25.01.25	Burton Albion - Rotherham United	4:2 ✺
18.01.25	Rotherham United - Charlton Athletic	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLWLW
- Shrewsbury Town
English League One
01.02.25	Shrewsbury Town - Mansfield Town	2:1 ✺
28.01.25	Stockport County - Shrewsbury Town	1:0 ✺
25.01.25	Charlton Athletic - Shrewsbury Town	1:0 ✺
16.01.25	Shrewsbury Town - Wrexham	2:1 ✺
04.01.25	Leyton Orient - Shrewsbury Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
28.09.24	Shrewsbury Town - Rotherham United	1:1
19.03.22	Rotherham United - Shrewsbury Town	0:3
01.03.22	Shrewsbury Town - Rotherham United	0:0
26.12.19	Shrewsbury Town - Rotherham United	1:2
21.09.19	Rotherham United - Shrewsbury Town	0:0
English League Cup
13.08.19	Shrewsbury Town - Rotherham United	0:4
English League One
27.05.18	Rotherham United - Shrewsbury Town	2:1 ET

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