Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 8

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Roman Suarez Puerta (Avilés)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Real Avilés		Talavera de la Reina

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	3
	2.12	3.1	3.35
	2.19	3.16	3.44
	2.23	3.16	3.23	Watch
	2.14	3.13	3.41
	1.95	3.15	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (1.97)	3.13 ↓ (3.15)	3.35 ↓ (3.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Real Avilés
43%

Draw
29.4%

Talavera de la Reina
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

29.1%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

27.3%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Avilés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Talavera de la Reina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Avilés than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Avilés, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Real Avilés - Talavera de la Reina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fernandez A. (G) 20. Campabadal E. 5. Babin J. 12. Granero B. 26. Carracedo O. 22. Isi Ros 16. Gomez A. 14. Cayarga B. 18. Gete A. 17. Bari Q. 10. Cueto J.	1. Gonzalez J. (G) 22. Rodriguez F. 5. Molina S. 4. Lopez A. 3. Roig A. 8. Sanchez L. 16. Navarro I. 6. Pitu 14. Molina A. 9. Moreno M. 11. Gallardo Rodriguez E.
Substitutes
13. Almodovar N. (G) 21. Alvarez P. 8. Bautista K. 15. Chukwuma E. 3. Diaz V. 23. El Arbaoui Y. 7. Hernandez R. 2. Ortega G. 19. Poquet N. 4. Rodriguez J. 11. Rubio R. 9. Santamaria A.	15. Arroyo N. 18. Capo P. 2. Cuenca D. 23. Farrando M. 19. Gomez V. 21. Montero Sergio 17. Ouacharaf B. 13. Rocafort R. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Isi Ros 🟨,
30', Gallardo Rodriguez E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', Cayarga B. 🟥,
56', Isi Ros ↓, Hernandez R. ↑,
56', Cueto J. ↓, Rubio R. ↑,
59', Molina S. 🟨,
61', Moreno M. 🟨,
65', Molina A. ↓, Arroyo N. ↑,
65', Rodriguez F. ↓, Ouacharaf B. ↑,
74', Bari Q. ↓, Ortega G. ↑,
76', Rubio R. 🟨,
79', 1 - 0, Hernandez R. ⚽,
83', 1 - 1, Moreno M. ⚽,
84', Gallardo Rodriguez E. ↓, Montero Sergio ↑,
84', Navarro I. ↓, Capo P. ↑,
85', Cuenca D. 🟨,
87', Babin J. 🟨,
90+5', Carracedo O. 🟨,
90+7', (Pen),

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Real Avilés is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Talavera's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Real Avilés may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Real Avilés might have a minor edge in this game.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Avilés
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
12.10.25	Zamora - Real Avilés	2:3 ✺
05.10.25	CD Guadalajara - Real Avilés	3:4 ✺
28.09.25	Real Avilés - Athletic Bilbao B	3:2 ✺
21.09.25	Unionistas de Salamanca - Real Avilés	3:2 ✺
14.09.25	Real Avilés - Osasuna B	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 WWWLW
- CF Talavera de la Reina
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
11.10.25	Talavera de la Reina - Ponferradina	0:1 ✺
05.10.25	Pontevedra - Talavera de la Reina	2:1 ✺
26.09.25	Talavera de la Reina - Lugo	1:0 ✺
21.09.25	Talavera de la Reina - Barakaldo	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	Ourense CF - Talavera de la Reina	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LLWTW

Upcoming Matches