Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 15

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Real Jaén		UCAM Murcia

	1	X	2
	2.72	2.98	2.48
	2.73	3.17	2.64
	2.7	3.16	2.5	Watch
	2.7	2.9	2.5
	2.64	2.96	2.54
	2.75	3	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (2.68)	3.03 ↑ (3)	2.53 ↑ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Real Jaén
33.8%

Draw
30.2%

UCAM Murcia
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

30.2%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3%

30.6%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Real Jaén have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

UCAM Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Jaén than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UCAM Murcia than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Real Jaén - UCAM Murcia Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Jaén (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
26', 0 - 1, Gonzalez N. ⚽,
40', 0 - 2, Aquino D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', 0 - 3, Alvarito ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Jaén is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

UCAM Murcia has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Jaén may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Jaén won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Jaén won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

UCAM Murcia - the odds 2.52 are the expected chance of winning is 35.97%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Jaén
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
06.12.25	Yeclano Deportivo - Real Jaén	2:0 ✺
30.11.25	Xerez CD - Real Jaén	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	Real Jaén - Recreativo Huelva	2:1 ✺
16.11.25	La Unión - Real Jaén	2:0 ✺
09.11.25	Real Jaén - Linares Deportivo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLWLL
- UCAM Murcia CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
10.12.25	Recreativo Huelva - UCAM Murcia	1:2 ✺
06.12.25	UCAM Murcia - Xerez CD	2:0 ✺
30.11.25	Linares Deportivo - UCAM Murcia	2:1 ✺
23.11.25	UCAM Murcia - Minera	3:1 ✺
09.11.25	Atlético Malagueño - UCAM Murcia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
14.02.16	Real Jaén - UCAM Murcia	0:1
27.09.15	UCAM Murcia - Real Jaén	1:0
01.03.15	Real Jaén - UCAM Murcia	1:2
11.10.14	UCAM Murcia - Real Jaén	1:0

Upcoming Matches