Match Info

LaLiga2 - Promotion - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 11 June 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere (Oviedo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport LaLiga
Argentina	DSports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5
Australia	beIN Sports 3
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	ESPN 4
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Croatia	Arena Sport 1
Cyprus	Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Ecuador	DSports 2
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu 2
Greece	Nova Sports 1, Nova Sports Prime
Hong-kong	Now Player, NOW Sports 2
India	FanCode, FanCode
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malta	TSN Malta 4
Poland	CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	DAZN 1
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 4
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar, Movistar Plus+, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1, Orange Futbol 2, #Vamos
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DSports 2
Usa	ESPN Deportes
Venezuela	DSports 2


	Real Oviedo		Almería

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.4	3.2	Watch
	2.2	3.1	3.1
	2.25	3.2	3.05	Watch
	2.47	3.36	2.76	Watch
	2.3	3.1	3.1
	2.12	3.45	3.38	Watch
	2.25	3.2	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.28)	3.26 ↓ (3.38)	3.09 ↓ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Oviedo
41.4%

Draw
28.5%

Almería
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

28.2%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

27.1%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Oviedo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Almería has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Oviedo than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almería than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
79.5%	9.1%	11.4%

Real Oviedo - Almería Predictions

Users Predictions: 43 users predict this event. Oviedo will win (votes: 34 - 79.1%). Almería will win (votes: 5 - 11.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 9.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Oviedo: 66.9% – 91.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Oviedo (1.91) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DC - Almería (1.66) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

DNB - Almería (2.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Real Oviedo will win (20 of 27 users predict this - 74.07%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 33 Selected Experts predict this event. Oviedo (votes: 23 - 69.7%). Almería (votes: 7 - 21.2%). Tie (votes: 3 - 9.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Escandell A. (G) 5. Vidal N. 4. Costas D. 12. Calvo D. (C) 3. Alhassane R. 20. Seoane J. 6. Sibo K. 11. Colombatto S. 23. Hassan H. 16. Chaira I. 9. Alemao	13. Martinez F. (G) 2. Puigmal A. 3. Gonzalez E. 21. Chumi 24. Langa B. 4. Kaiky 6. Lopy D. 11. Arribas S. 8. Melero G. (C) 10. Melamed N. 7. Lazaro
Substitutes
24. Ahijado L. 1. Braat Q. (G) 27. Cardero A. 8. Cazorla S. 18. de la Fuente P. 17. de la Hoz C. 15. Luengo O. 7. Moyano F. 14. Paraschiv D. 21. Pomares C. 10. Portillo F. 19. Vinas F.	20. Centelles A. 23. Clua Oya S. 28. Fettal R. 38. Fidel Cedillo Segura P. 27. Gui Guedes 31. Iribarne B. (G) 12. Leo Baptistao 19. Marezi 1. Maximiano L. (G) 17. Pozo A. 16. Radovanovic A.
Coaches
Paunovic V.	Rubi

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Melero G. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Seoane J. ↓, Cazorla S. ↑,
48', Lazaro 🟨,
49', 1 - 1, Cazorla S. ⚽,
58', Calvo D. 🟨,
62', Alemao ↓, Vinas F. ↑,
71', Puigmal A. ↓, Pozo A. ↑,
71', Langa B. ↓, Centelles A. ↑,
77', Alhassane R. 🟨,
77', Kaiky ↓, Marezi ↑,
77', Melamed N. ↓, Leo Baptistao ↑,
84', Chaira I. ↓, de la Hoz C. ↑,
84', Hassan H. ↓, Luengo O. ↑,
90', Gonzalez E. ↓, Fettal R. ↑,
90', Colombatto S. ↓, Portillo F. ↑,
90+6', Pozo A. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg result: 2-1. 2nd leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oviedo won 3.

Oviedo has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Almería has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Oviedo: Lemos A. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Almería: Baba I. (Knee Injury) Pubill M. (International duty) Robertone L. (Injury) Suarez L. (International duty)

There are questionable in Almería: Leo Baptistao (Injury)

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Oviedo won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 21:22. (average 1.2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Oviedo won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 1.5:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Oviedo
Spanish LaLiga2
07.06.25	Almería - Real Oviedo	1:2 ✺
01.06.25	Real Oviedo - Cádiz	2:1 ✺
25.05.25	Tenerife - Real Oviedo	0:1 ✺
18.05.25	Real Oviedo - Zaragoza	1:0 ✺
11.05.25	Racing Santander - Real Oviedo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WWWWT
- UD Almería
Spanish LaLiga2
07.06.25	Almería - Real Oviedo	1:2 ✺
01.06.25	Almería - Tenerife	2:0 ✺
25.05.25	Mirandés - Almería	0:0 ✺
18.05.25	Almería - Racing Santander	2:0 ✺
09.05.25	Cádiz - Almería	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
07.06.25	Almería - Real Oviedo	1:2
01.02.25	Almería - Real Oviedo	1:1
13.10.24	Real Oviedo - Almería	3:2
29.01.22	Real Oviedo - Almería	2:0
20.08.21	Almería - Real Oviedo	2:1
01.05.21	Almería - Real Oviedo	2:2
30.11.20	Real Oviedo - Almería	1:2

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