The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Real Oviedo 52.4%
Draw 26.6%
Castellón 21%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.9%
25.2%
20.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.4%
24.5%
20.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Oviedo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
Castellón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Oviedo than the current prediction. (+3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
13.3%
20%
Real Oviedo - Castellón Predictions
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Oviedo will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Castellón will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Oviedo: 42.8% – 90.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Escandell A. (G) 5. Vidal N. 4. Costas D. 12. Calvo D. 21. Pomares C. 16. Chaira I. 11. Colombatto S. 17. de la Hoz C. 18. de la Fuente P. 10. Portillo F. 9. Alemao
1. Crettaz G. (G) 17. Ruiz S. 5. Jimenez A. 33. Vertrouwd J. 23. Calavera J. 18. Lottin A. 6. van den Belt T. 4. Suero I. 10. Sanchez R. 24. Camara O. 16. Cipenga B.
Substitutes
24. Ahijado L. 3. Alhassane R. 1. Braat Q. (G) 27. Cardero A. 15. Luengo O. 28. Miguelez S. 7. Moyano F. 14. Paraschiv D. 29. Vazquez J.
13. Abedzadeh A. (G) 11. Aurelio D. 22. Chirino D. 9. de Miguel J. 12. Jojic M. 8. Mamah K. 20. Markanich N. 7. Moyita S. 51. Pastor G. 3. Traore M. 15. Willems J. 2. Zarfino G.
Coaches
Calleja J.
Plat J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Calavera J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Calavera J. ↓, Zarfino G. ↑,
58', de la Fuente P. ↓, Moyano F. ↑,
60', Portillo F. 🟨,
62', Camara O. ↓, de Miguel J. ↑,
71', Cipenga B. ↓, Traore M. ↑,
71', Portillo F. ↓, Cardero A. ↑,
78', Ruiz S. 🟨,
81', de la Hoz C. ↓, Luengo O. ↑,
81', Vidal N. ↓, Ahijado L. ↑,
81', Chaira I. ↓, Paraschiv D. ↑,
87', Ruiz S. ↓, Chirino D. ↑,
87', Lottin A. ↓, Jojic M. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 0, Alemao ⚽,
Preview
One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 7 and 14).
Oviedo is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Castellón is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Castellón could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Oviedo is a favorite.
There will not play in Oviedo: Seoane J.
(Leg Injury)
There are questionable in Castellón: Calatrava A.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Last 4 head-to-head matches Oviedo won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:3 (average 1.3:0.8).
Including matches at home between the teams Oviedo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:0