Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - League phase - Round 5

Date: 28 November 2024, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Reale Arena (San Sebastian) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Jug M. (Slo)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App
Albania	21:00	SuperSport 5
Argentina	17:00	ESPN
Armenia	00:00	Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
Australia	07:00	Stan Sport
Belgium	21:00	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 4
Bulgaria	22:00	Max Sport 4
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada
China	04:00	QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	15:00	ESPN
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
Denmark	21:00	Disney+
Finland	22:00	Viaplay
France	21:00	Canal+ Live 4
Greece	22:00	COSMOTE Sport 6
Hong Kong	04:00	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Hungary	21:00	RTL+
Iceland	20:00	Viaplay
India	01:30	Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 5
Indonesia	03:00	beIN Connect, Vidio
Israel	22:00	Sport 1
Italy	21:00	NOW TV, Sky Sport 254, Sky Sport Calcio, TV8
Japan	05:00	Wowow Prime
Laos	03:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	04:00	beIN Connect
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 6
Mexico	14:00	FOX Sports Premium
Montenegro	21:00	Arena Sport 4
Myanmar	02:30	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	21:00	Ziggo Sport
New Zealand	09:00	DAZN New Zealand
North Macedonia	21:00	MaxTV GO
Norway	21:00	Viaplay
Peru	15:00	ESPN
Philippines	04:00	beIN Connect
Russia	23:00	Okko Sport
South America	—	ESPN South, ViX Latin America
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+ 1, Movistar Plus+ 2, #Vamos
Sweden	21:00	Disney+
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3
Thailand	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 4
United Kingdom	20:00	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 7
Usa	15:00	CBS, Paramount+
Venezuela	16:00	ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	03:00	ON Plus
International	20:00	Disney+, JioTV app


	Real Sociedad		Ajax

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.5	4.1
	1.9	3.5	4.1
	1.88	3.6	4.35	Watch
	1.95	3.51	4.3
	1.9	3.53	4.15	Watch
	1.91	3.4	4.2
	1.97	3.62	4.34
	1.88	3.6	4.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.7)	3.53 ↑ (3.5)	4.24 ↓ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

Watch this match and UEFA Europa League with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: CBSSN

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Real Sociedad
50.2%

Draw
27.2%

Ajax
22.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.7%

26.1%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3%

28.3%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Sociedad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Ajax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Sociedad, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Real Sociedad - Ajax Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Real Sociedad will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%). Ajax will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Real Sociedad: 11.5% – 55.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Remiro A. (G) 6. Elustondo A. 5. Zubeldia I. 21. Aguerd N. 3. Munoz A. 14. Kubo T. 4. Zubimendi M. 23. Mendez B. 10. Oyarzabal M. (C) 24. Sucic L. 11. Becker S.	22. Pasveer R. (G) 2. Rensch D. 37. Sutalo J. 15. Baas Y. 4. Hato J. 23. Berghuis S. 6. Henderson J. (C) 28. Fitz-Jim K. 20. Traore B. 9. Brobbey B. 10. Akpom Ch.
Substitutes
27. Aramburu J. 7. Barrenetxea A. 17. Gomez S. 12. Lopez J. 25. Magunazelaia Argoitia J. 28. Marin P. 13. Marrero U. (G) 31. Martin J. 16. Olasagasti J. A. 20. Pacheco J. 19. Sadiq U. 22. Turrientes B.	49. Banel J. 3. Gaaei A. 12. Gorter J. (G) 38. Hlynsson K. 13. Kaplan A. 31. Mokio J. 40. Ramaj D. (G) 29. Rasmussen C. 24. Rugani D. 21. van den Boomen B. 5. Wijndal O.
Coaches
Alguacil I.	Farioli F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Mendez B. 🟨,
34', Brobbey B. ↓, Rasmussen C. ↑,
45+4', Elustondo A. ↓, Aramburu J. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Sucic L. ↓, Turrientes B. ↑,
65', Becker S. ↓, Barrenetxea A. ↑,
65', Berghuis S. ↓, van den Boomen B. ↑,
65', Traore B. ↓, Banel J. ↑,
67', 1 - 0, Barrenetxea A. ⚽, Kubo T. (A),
74', Fitz-Jim K. ↓, Hlynsson K. ↑,
74', Hato J. ↓, Wijndal O. ↑,
81', Wijndal O. 🟨,
85', 2 - 0, Kubo T. ⚽,
87', Oyarzabal M. ↓, Sadiq U. ↑,
87', Kubo T. ↓, Gomez S. ↑,
89', van den Boomen B. 🟨,
90', Aramburu J. 🟨,
90+2', Munoz A. 🟨,

Preview

Recent matches Real Sociedad is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ajax is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ajax could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Real Sociedad have a series of guest games.

In this match Real Sociedad is a favorite.

There will not play in Real Sociedad: Oskarsson O. (Muscle Injury) Traore H. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Ajax: Godts M. (Knee Injury) Taylor K. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Real Sociedad: Zakharyan A. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Ajax: Avila G. (Knee Injury) Mannsverk S. (Ankle Injury) Rijkhoff J. (Knee Injury) Weghorst W. (Injury) van Axel Dongen A. (Knock)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Real Sociedad won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Sociedad
Spanish LaLiga
24.11.24	Athletic Bilbao - Real Sociedad	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
21.11.24	Español de San Vicente - Real Sociedad	0:5 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
10.11.24	Real Sociedad - Barcelona	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
07.11.24	Viktoria Plzeň - Real Sociedad	2:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
03.11.24	Sevilla - Real Sociedad	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LWWLW
- Ajax Amsterdam
Dutch Eredivisie
24.11.24	Ajax - Zwolle	2:0 ✺
10.11.24	Twente - Ajax	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
07.11.24	Ajax - Maccabi Tel Aviv	5:0 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
02.11.24	Ajax - PSV Eindhoven	3:2 ✺
30.10.24	Feyenoord - Ajax	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
19.07.14	Ajax - Real Sociedad	3:1

Upcoming Matches