What is the expert prediction for Real Sociedad vs Ajax?

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Real Sociedad vs Ajax Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Thursday, November 28, 2024)

Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - League phase - Round 5

Date: 28 November 2024, Thursday

Location: Reale Arena (San Sebastian)

Referee: Jug M. (Slo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App
Albania	SuperSport 5
Argentina	ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Belgium	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 4
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	DAZN Canada
China	QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 4
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 6
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Hungary	RTL+
Iceland	Viaplay
India	Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 5
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Israel	Sport 1
Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 254, Sky Sport Calcio, TV8
Japan	Wowow Prime
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 6
Mexico	FOX Sports Premium
Montenegro	Arena Sport 4
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	ESPN
Philippines	beIN Connect
Russia	Okko Sport
South-america	ESPN South, ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+ 1, Movistar Plus+ 2, #Vamos
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 7
Usa	CBS, Paramount+
Venezuela	ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	Disney+, JioTV app


	Real Sociedad		Ajax

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.5	4.1
	1.9	3.5	4.1
	1.88	3.6	4.35	Watch
	1.95	3.51	4.3
	1.9	3.53	4.15	Watch
	1.91	3.4	4.2
	1.97	3.62	4.34
	1.88	3.6	4.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.7)	3.53 ↑ (3.5)	4.24 ↓ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

Watch this match and UEFA Europa League with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: CBSSN

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Current Win Probability

Real Sociedad
50.2%

Draw
27.2%

Ajax
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

26.1%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3%

28.3%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Sociedad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Ajax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Sociedad, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Real Sociedad will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%). Ajax will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Real Sociedad: 11.5% – 55.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Remiro A. (G) 6. Elustondo A. 5. Zubeldia I. 21. Aguerd N. 3. Munoz A. 14. Kubo T. 4. Zubimendi M. 23. Mendez B. 10. Oyarzabal M. (C) 24. Sucic L. 11. Becker S.	22. Pasveer R. (G) 2. Rensch D. 37. Sutalo J. 15. Baas Y. 4. Hato J. 23. Berghuis S. 6. Henderson J. (C) 28. Fitz-Jim K. 20. Traore B. 9. Brobbey B. 10. Akpom Ch.
Substitutes
27. Aramburu J. 7. Barrenetxea A. 17. Gomez S. 12. Lopez J. 25. Magunazelaia Argoitia J. 28. Marin P. 13. Marrero U. (G) 31. Martin J. 16. Olasagasti J. A. 20. Pacheco J. 19. Sadiq U. 22. Turrientes B.	49. Banel J. 3. Gaaei A. 12. Gorter J. (G) 38. Hlynsson K. 13. Kaplan A. 31. Mokio J. 40. Ramaj D. (G) 29. Rasmussen C. 24. Rugani D. 21. van den Boomen B. 5. Wijndal O.
Coaches
Alguacil I.	Farioli F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Mendez B. 🟨,
34', Brobbey B. ↓, Rasmussen C. ↑,
45+4', Elustondo A. ↓, Aramburu J. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Sucic L. ↓, Turrientes B. ↑,
65', Becker S. ↓, Barrenetxea A. ↑,
65', Berghuis S. ↓, van den Boomen B. ↑,
65', Traore B. ↓, Banel J. ↑,
67', 1 - 0, Barrenetxea A. ⚽, Kubo T. (A),
74', Fitz-Jim K. ↓, Hlynsson K. ↑,
74', Hato J. ↓, Wijndal O. ↑,
81', Wijndal O. 🟨,
85', 2 - 0, Kubo T. ⚽,
87', Oyarzabal M. ↓, Sadiq U. ↑,
87', Kubo T. ↓, Gomez S. ↑,
89', van den Boomen B. 🟨,
90', Aramburu J. 🟨,
90+2', Munoz A. 🟨,

Preview

Recent matches Real Sociedad is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ajax is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ajax could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Real Sociedad have a series of guest games.

In this match Real Sociedad is a favorite.

There will not play in Real Sociedad: Oskarsson O. (Muscle Injury) Traore H. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Ajax: Godts M. (Knee Injury) Taylor K. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Real Sociedad: Zakharyan A. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Ajax: Avila G. (Knee Injury) Mannsverk S. (Ankle Injury) Rijkhoff J. (Knee Injury) Weghorst W. (Injury) van Axel Dongen A. (Knock)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Real Sociedad won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Sociedad
Spanish LaLiga
24.11.24	Athletic Bilbao - Real Sociedad	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
21.11.24	Español de San Vicente - Real Sociedad	0:5 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
10.11.24	Real Sociedad - Barcelona	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
07.11.24	Viktoria Plzeň - Real Sociedad	2:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
03.11.24	Sevilla - Real Sociedad	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LWWLW
- Ajax Amsterdam
Dutch Eredivisie
24.11.24	Ajax - Zwolle	2:0 ✺
10.11.24	Twente - Ajax	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
07.11.24	Ajax - Maccabi Tel Aviv	5:0 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
02.11.24	Ajax - PSV Eindhoven	3:2 ✺
30.10.24	Feyenoord - Ajax	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
19.07.14	Ajax - Real Sociedad	3:1

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