Match Info

Date: 20 October 2021, Wednesday


	Red Bull Salzburg		Wolfsburg

	1	X	2
	2	3.6	3.6
	2.05	3.5	3.5
	2.07	3.65	3.75
	2.09	3.4	3.6
	2.1	3.64	3.67
	2.05	3.5	3.6
	2.08	3.68	3.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.23)	3.57 ↓ (3.65)	3.63 ↑ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Red Bull Salzburg
46.6%

Draw
26.9%

Wolfsburg
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

26%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9%

19.5%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Red Bull Salzburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Wolfsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Bull Salzburg than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Red Bull Salzburg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wolfsburg than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	9.1%	5.2%

Red Bull Salzburg - Wolfsburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 154 users predict this event. Salzburg will win (votes: 132 - 85.7%). Wolfsburg will win (votes: 8 - 5.2%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Salzburg: 80.2% – 91.2%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Salzburg has currently - 4, has a chance of 1st (48%), has a chance of 2nd (27%), has a chance of 3rd (18%), has a good chance of round of 16 (75%), has a chance of qtrs (31%), has a small chance of semis (11%), has a very small chance of final (4%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).

Wolfsburg has currently - 2, has a chance of 1st (17%), has a chance of 2nd (24%), has a chance of 3rd (35%), has a chance of round of 16 (40%), has a small chance of qtrs (13%), has a very small chance of semis (4%), has a very small chance of final (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Salzburg in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Wolfsburg is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Wolfsburg could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Salzburg will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Red Bull Salzburg
Austrian Bundesliga
16.10.21	Rheindorf Altach - Red Bull Salzburg	1:1 ✺
03.10.21	Red Bull Salzburg - LASK Linz	3:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
29.09.21	Red Bull Salzburg - Lille	2:1 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
25.09.21	Wolfsberger - Red Bull Salzburg	0:2 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
22.09.21	Red Bull Salzburg - Kalsdorf	8:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TWWWW
- VfL Wolfsburg
German Bundesliga
16.10.21	Union Berlin - Wolfsburg	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
06.10.21	Wolfsburg - Hamburger SV	4:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
02.10.21	Wolfsburg - Borussia Mönchengladbach	1:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
29.09.21	Wolfsburg - Sevilla	1:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
25.09.21	Hoffenheim - Wolfsburg	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWLTL

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