Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 17

Date: 24 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Evandro Almeida (Belem)

Referee: Pereira R. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Ecuador	Canal del Futbol
Usa	Fanatiz


	Remo		Athletico Paranaense

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.25	3.4	Watch
	2.18	3.15	3.35	Watch
	2.28	3.3	3.56
	2.53	3.21	2.94	Watch
	2.2	3	3.25
	2.3	3.25	3.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.69)	3.19 ↑ (3.1)	3.31 ↑ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Remo
41.7%

Draw
29.7%

Athletico Paranaense
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

29.6%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

31.4%

38.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Remo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Remo's performance.

Athletico Paranaense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Athletico Paranaense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Remo than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Remo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Athletico Paranaense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	46.7%	33.3%

Remo - Athletico Paranaense Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Remo will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Athletico PR will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 42.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 17% – 68.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
88. Marcelo Rangel (G) 79. Marcelinho 13. Marllon (C) 18. Tchamba D. 98. Mayk 28. Ze Welison 8. Patrick 22. Yago Pikachu 15. Vitor Bueno 37. Jaja 11. Alef Manga	23. Santos (C) 33. Aguirre F. 4. Arthur Dias 26. Claudinho 29. Benavidez G. 16. Jadson 5. Felipinho 2. Gilberto Junior 7. Mendoza S. 10. Zapelli B. 9. Viveros K.
Substitutes
26. David Braga 33. Diego Hernandez 99. Gabriel Poveda 7. Giovanni Pavani 97. Ivan (G) 10. Jaderson 5. Leo Andrade 2. Matheus Alexandre 14. Picco L. 17. Tassano C. 94. Ygor Vinhas (G) 55. Ze Ricardo	36. Arthur Monteiro 47. Chiqueti 63. Diogo Riquelme 53. Dudu Kogitzki 11. Isaac 8. Joao Cruz 20. Julimar 3. Leo 21. Leozinho 1. Mycael (G) 70. Renan Peixoto 32. Vitinho
Coaches
Leo Conde	Hellmann O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 1 - 0, Jaja ⚽,
45', 1 - 1, Viveros K. ⚽, Claudinho (A),
45+8', Jaja 🟥,
45+11', Zapelli B. 🟨,
45+12', Marcelinho 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Yago Pikachu ↓, Matheus Alexandre ↑,
46', Gilberto Junior ↓, Julimar ↑,
46', Zapelli B. ↓, Leozinho ↑,
53', 1 - 2, Viveros K. ⚽, Jadson (A),
59', Vitor Bueno ↓, Gabriel Poveda ↑,
59', Patrick ↓, Picco L. ↑,
65', Felipinho 🟨,
71', Felipinho ↓, Diogo Riquelme ↑,
77', Alef Manga ↓, Diego Hernandez ↑,
84', Viveros K. ↓, Renan Peixoto ↑,
88', Ze Welison ↓, Ze Ricardo ↑,
90', Leozinho 🟨,
90+2', Diogo Riquelme 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )).

Remo is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Athletico PR's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Remo: Eduardo Melo (Hamstring Injury) Gabriel Taliari (Hamstring Injury) Joao Lucas (Knee Injury) Patrick de Paula (Groin Injury) Thalisson (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Athletico PR: Julimar (Ankle Injury) Luiz Gustavo (Calf Injury) Teran C. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Athletico PR: Esquivel L. (Injury) Leo Derik (Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Remo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Remo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Outrights of Brazilian Serie A for now

Athletico-PR: 0.33%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Athletico-PR	29	14	8	7	45:34	11	50
19	Remo	30	5	10	15	33:48	-15	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Clube Do Remo
Brazilian Serie A
17.05.26	Chapecoense - Remo	2:3 ✺
Copa do Brasil
13.05.26	Remo - Bahia	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
10.05.26	Remo - Palmeiras	1:1 ✺
02.05.26	Botafogo RJ - Remo	1:2 ✺
25.04.26	Remo - Cruzeiro	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.3 WWTWL
- Athletico Paranaense
Brazilian Serie A
17.05.26	Athletico Paranaense - Flamengo	1:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
14.05.26	Atlético Goianiense - Athletico Paranaense	0:1 penalties ✺
Brazilian Serie A
10.05.26	Vasco da Gama - Athletico Paranaense	1:0 ✺
02.05.26	Athletico Paranaense - Grêmio	0:0 ✺
26.04.26	Athletico Paranaense - Vitória Salvador	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
09.10.25	Remo - Athletico Paranaense	2:1
14.06.25	Athletico Paranaense - Remo	2:1
Copa do Brasil
15.04.15	Athletico Paranaense - Remo	2:1 penalties
02.04.15	Remo - Athletico Paranaense	1:1

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