Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 18

Date: 31 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Evandro Almeida (Belem)

Referee: Pinheiro J. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Premiere
Mexico	Azteca Deportes, Disney+


	Remo		São Paulo

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.2	2.3	Watch
	3.05	3.15	2.32	Watch
	3.25	3.31	2.44
	3.1	3.16	2.45	Watch
	2.9	3	2.3
	3.36	3.29	2.33	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.13 ↑ (3.05)	3.19 ↓ (3.23)	2.36 ↓ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Remo
30.2%

Draw
29.7%

São Paulo
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

29.4%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

28%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Remo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

São Paulo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Remo than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	21.4%	64.3%

Remo - São Paulo Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Remo will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). São Paulo will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for São Paulo: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - São Paulo (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. São Paulo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
97. Ivan (G) 79. Marcelinho 13. Marllon (C) 18. Tchamba D. 98. Mayk 28. Ze Welison 8. Patrick 22. Yago Pikachu 55. Ze Ricardo 11. Alef Manga 15. Vitor Bueno	23. Rafael (G) 19. Lucas Ramon 28. Franco A. 54. Luis Osorio 13. Diaz E. 94. Danielzinho 29. Pablo Maia 37. Artur 17. Andre Silva 11. Ferreira 9. Jonathan Calleri (C)
Substitutes
24. Cufre B. 26. David Braga 33. Diego Hernandez 99. Gabriel Poveda 7. Giovanni Pavani 10. Jaderson 45. Joao Pedro 5. Leo Andrade 2. Matheus Alexandre 14. Picco L. 61. Tico 94. Ygor Vinhas (G)	56. Bosshardt N. 31. Carlos Coronel (G) 34. dos Santos P. 30. Felipe Negrucci 38. Hugo Leonardo 15. Joao Moreira 45. Lucca Marques 8. Marcos Antonio 46. Pedro Ferreira 43. Santana G. 14. Tapia G. 2. Toloi R.
Coaches
Leo Conde	Dorival Junior

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Luis Osorio 🟨,
38', Diaz E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', Andre Silva ↓, Marcos Antonio ↑,
71', Ze Welison ↓, Picco L. ↑,
72', Ferreira ↓, Lucca Marques ↑,
72', Danielzinho ↓, Hugo Leonardo ↑,
72', Artur ↓, dos Santos P. ↑,
80', Ze Ricardo ↓, Gabriel Poveda ↑,
80', Yago Pikachu ↓, Matheus Alexandre ↑,
80', Vitor Bueno ↓, David Braga ↑,
85', David Braga 🟨,
87', Jonathan Calleri ↓, Tapia G. ↑,
90+4', 1 - 0, Marcelinho ⚽, Picco L. (A),
90+7', Marcelinho ↓, Diego Hernandez ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).

Remo is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

São Paulo has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

São Paulo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Remo: Gabriel Taliari (Hamstring Injury) Jaja (Red Card) Joao Lucas (Knee Injury) Patrick de Paula (Groin Injury)

There will not play in São Paulo: Bobadilla D. (International duty) Lucas Moura (Achilles Tendon Injury) Luciano (Yellow Cards) Maik (Inactive) Marcos Antonio (Hamstring Injury) Robert Arboleda (Inactive) Wendell (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Remo: Eduardo Melo (Hamstring Injury) Thalisson (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in São Paulo: Luciano (Injury) Sabino (Injury)

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Outrights of Brazilian Serie A for now

Sao Paulo: 0.24%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Sao Paulo	30	11	6	13	35:35	0	39
19	Remo	30	5	10	15	33:48	-15	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Clube Do Remo
Brazilian Serie A
24.05.26	Remo - Athletico Paranaense	1:2 ✺
17.05.26	Chapecoense - Remo	2:3 ✺
Copa do Brasil
13.05.26	Remo - Bahia	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
10.05.26	Remo - Palmeiras	1:1 ✺
02.05.26	Botafogo RJ - Remo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.3 LWWTW
- São Paulo FC
Copa Sudamericana
26.05.26	São Paulo - Boston River	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
23.05.26	São Paulo - Botafogo RJ	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
19.05.26	São Paulo - Millonarios	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
16.05.26	Fluminense - São Paulo	2:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
13.05.26	Juventude - São Paulo	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 WTTLL

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