Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 23

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps (Auxerre)

Referee: Angoula G. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, TOD
Austria	DAZN
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Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
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Croatia	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 5, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3
Israel	5 SPORT Israel
Italy	Ligue 1+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	FOX One, Fox Sports
Netherlands	Viaplay
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Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	Sport TV3
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 8
Slovakia	Nova Sport 5, Voyo
South-korea	Coupang Play
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Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 MAX
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	DAZN, Ligue 1+
Uruguay	Disney+
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Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus, TV 360
World	Onefootball


	Auxerre		Rennes

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.4	2.45	Watch
	2.92	3.35	2.42	Watch
	3.06	3.37	2.44
	2.92	3.33	2.44	Watch
	2.9	3.2	2.38
	3.01	3.44	2.55	Watch
	3	3.33	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↑ (2.95)	3.35 (3.35)	2.44 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Auxerre
32.3%

Draw
28.5%

Rennes
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

28.2%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

28.3%

39.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Auxerre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Rennes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auxerre than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rennes than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.8%	38.5%	30.8%

Auxerre - Rennes Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Auxerre will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Rennes will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 12% – 65%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Auxerre (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Auxerre (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .

DC - draw (1.34) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Auxerre (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Leon D. (G) 27. Sy L. 20. Diomande S. 24. Okoh B. 92. Akpa C. 8. Ahamada N. 42. Owusu E. (C) 5. Danois K. 19. Namaso D. 9. Mara S. 10. Sinayoko L.	30. Samba B. (G) 18. Nagida M. 24. Rouault A. 3. Brassier L. 26. Merlin Q. 21. Rongier V. (C) 45. Camara M. 11. Tamari M. 17. Szymanski S. 70. Nordin A. 9. Lepaul E.
Substitutes
7. Casimir J. 40. De Percin T. (G) 36. Devernois T. 18. Diousse A. 14. Mensah G. 22. Oppegard F. 31. Rodin R. 29. Senaya M. 41. Zaddy Y.	48. Ait Boudlal A. 10. Blas L. 6. Cisse D. 69. Do Marcolino H. 7. Embolo B. 65. Mukiele N. 36. Seidu A. 50. Silistrie M. (G) 77. Zabiri Y.
Coaches
Pelissier C.	Haise F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
20', 0 - 1, Camara M. ⚽,
22', 0 - 2, Lepaul E. ⚽, Szymanski S. (A),
45', 0 - 3, Camara M. ⚽, Tamari M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Sy L. ↓, Oppegard F. ↑,
46', Akpa C. ↓, Senaya M. ↑,
47', Merlin Q. 🟨,
48', Ahamada N. ↓, Casimir J. ↑,
48', Mara S. ↓, Mensah G. ↑,
55', Owusu E. 🟨,
68', Lepaul E. ↓, Embolo B. ↑,
68', Tamari M. ↓, Blas L. ↑,
76', Rongier V. 🟨,
78', Szymanski S. ↓, Cisse D. ↑,
78', Nordin A. ↓, Zabiri Y. ↑,
81', Rouault A. 🟨,
85', Camara M. 🟨,
86', Danois K. ↓, Devernois T. ↑,
88', Camara M. ↓, Do Marcolino H. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Auxerre won 2.

Auxerre has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Rennes is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Auxerre may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Auxerre: Buayi-Kiala N. (Knee Injury) Coulibaly L. (Injury) El Azzouzi O. (Injury) Faivre R. (Injury) Sierralta F. (Injury) Siwe T. (Injury)

There will not play in Rennes: Frankowski P. (Injury) Jacquet J. (Shoulder Injury) Kamara G. (Injury)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Auxerre won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Auxerre won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Rennes: 3.66% Auxerre: 0.23%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Rennes	5	3	1	1	8:9	-1	10
10	Auxerre	5	2	0	3	7:12	-5	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AJ Auxerre
French Ligue 1
15.02.26	Metz - Auxerre	1:3 ✺
08.02.26	Auxerre - Paris FC	0:0 ✺
01.02.26	Toulouse - Auxerre	0:0 ✺
23.01.26	Auxerre - Paris Saint-Germain	0:1 ✺
17.01.26	Lens - Auxerre	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WTTLL
- Stade Rennes
French Ligue 1
13.02.26	Rennes - Paris Saint-Germain	3:1 ✺
07.02.26	Lens - Rennes	3:1 ✺
Coupe De France
03.02.26	Olympique Marseille - Rennes	3:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
31.01.26	Monaco - Rennes	4:0 ✺
24.01.26	Rennes - Lorient	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
19.10.25	Rennes - Auxerre	2:2
06.04.25	Rennes - Auxerre	0:1
03.11.24	Auxerre - Rennes	4:0
11.03.23	Auxerre - Rennes	0:0
11.09.22	Rennes - Auxerre	5:0
Coupe De France
12.02.14	Auxerre - Rennes	0:1
French Ligue 1
11.03.12	Rennes - Auxerre	1:1

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