Match Info

Date: 25 April 2022, Monday


	Defensor Sporting		Cerrito

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.3	3.75
	1.85	3.3	4.1	Watch
	1.87	3.2	3.8
	1.83	3.3	4
	1.92	3.5	4.38
	1.83	3.25	4
	1.89	3.44	4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (2.07)	3.33 ↑ (3.24)	4 ↑ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Defensor Sporting
49.4%

Draw
27.6%

Cerrito
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defensor Sporting has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Defensor Sporting's performance.

Cerrito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cerrito might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensor Sporting than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerrito than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	22.2%	11.1%

Defensor Sporting - Cerrito Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Defensor Sporting will win (votes: 18 - 66.7%). Cerrito will win (votes: 3 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Defensor Sporting: 48.9% – 84.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Defensor Sporting is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cerrito is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Defensor Sporting will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Defensor Sporting won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defensor Sporting
Uruguayan Primera Division
15.04.22	Defensor Sporting - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	2:1 ✺
08.04.22	Cerro Largo - Defensor Sporting	0:0 ✺
02.04.22	Defensor Sporting - River Plate Montevideo	3:2 ✺
21.03.22	Boston River - Defensor Sporting	1:1 ✺
12.03.22	Defensor Sporting - Plaza Colonia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WTWTT
- CS Cerrito
Uruguayan Primera Division
16.04.22	Cerrito - Peñarol de Montevideo	0:0 ✺
10.04.22	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Cerrito	2:0 ✺
03.04.22	Cerrito - Liverpool Montevideo	0:1 ✺
22.03.22	Cerro Largo - Cerrito	1:0 ✺
11.03.22	Cerrito - Rentistas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
04.03.12	Cerrito - Defensor Sporting	0:2

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