The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Retrô Brasil 30.3%
Draw 31%
ABC 38.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.7%
30.9%
30.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.2%
30.5%
30%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Retrô Brasil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Retrô Brasil's form might have worsened.
ABC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting ABC's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Retrô Brasil than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Retrô Brasil, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for ABC than the current prediction. (-8.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for ABC, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
80%
20%
Retrô Brasil - ABC Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. ABC will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
BTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Fabian Volpi (G) 2. Danillo 17. Diego Guerra 20. Esquerdinha 7. Fabinho 14. Felipe Ferreira 10. Fernandinho 13. Luiz Henrique 4. Rayan Ribeiro 5. Romulo 9. Vagner Love
12. Pedro Paulo (G) 8. Adeilson Maranhao 20. Alisson Taddei 4. Bruno Bispo (C) 17. Bruno Leite 18. Jenison 16. Manoel 26. Matheus Rocha 5. Randerson 23. Richardson 11. Wallyson
Substitutes
22. Bruno Marques 1. Darley (G) 25. Eduardo 18. Franco R. 26. Jhonnatam 28. Joao Lucas 30. Luquinhas 8. Ly I. 27. Mike 15. Murilo Cosmo 23. Paulo Gianezini (G) 3. Robson Reis
10. Anderson Rosa 7. Carlos Eduardo 1. Felipe Garcia (G) 28. Joaozinho 21. Kaua 22. Lucas Mota 27. Patric 14. Rafael Oller 13. Renato Vischi 19. Ronaldy 15. Windson
Coaches
Andrade de Brito J.
Rodrigo Santana
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Vagner Love 🟨,
39', Adeilson Maranhao 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Jenison ↓, Ronaldy ↑,
48', 1 - 0, Danillo ⚽,
58', Luiz Henrique ↓, Joao Lucas ↑,
63', Wallyson ↓, Rafael Oller ↑,
66', Esquerdinha ↓, Robson Reis ↑,
71', Felipe Ferreira ↓, Jhonnatam ↑,
71', Romulo ↓, Murilo Cosmo ↑,
71', Fernandinho ↓, Ly I. ↑,
72', Alisson Taddei ↓, Carlos Eduardo ↑,
72', Adeilson Maranhao ↓, Kaua ↑,
75', Rayan Ribeiro 🟨,
80', Rayan Ribeiro 🟨,
81', Bruno Leite ↓, Joaozinho ↑,
82', Randerson 🟨,
89', Richardson 🟨,
90+1', 1 - 1, Rafael Oller ⚽,
Preview
This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D).
Retrô has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
ABC's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Retrô may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Retrô won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).
Including home match between the teams, Retrô won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.